Next Day's Advance Market Decisions

Monday, July 13, 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Monday Forecast

Note: If our prediction is correct, a DOW 300+ Point DOWN-day may happen today.

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Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 07/13/09
Last Updated: 07/10/09

07/10/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 81.41
(High) 81.94
(Low) 81.02
(Close)81.44
(Range 0.92

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 81.47
Today's Predicted High:82.10
Today's Predicted Low: 80.78
Today's Proposed Range: 1.32
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 35 Down from 35
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.00/0.93 Up
Current Trend: Negative -53 Down from -52
Demand Factor: 61 Down from 62
Stock Volatility: 0.12 Down from 0.48

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
07/10/09 12:45 Close: 81.40
Upside Potential: 82.76
Downside Potential: 80.12

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 82.64
2. 83.04
3. 83.07
4. 83.58

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 80.30
2. 79.81
3. 79.78
4. 79.40

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 82.83
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.31
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.21
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.82
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.68
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.62
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.36
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.74

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Monday: 61%
DJIA Trend: Rising 16%
DJIA Momentum: Falling 74%
Dow Outlook: Neutral, Falling 51%
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 74.8%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Monday July 13 2009

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Friday 7-10-09 DJIA Closed: 8,146.52 -36.65 vs. prior day: 8,183.17 +4.76
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,424.28 -28.21 vs. prior day: 8,452.49 -27.61
DJIA Closed: -3.3% Below its Falling 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -3.19% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Monday July 13 Stock Market Forecast

Mondays: Rising 27.4% / 26.0% / 24.4% / 25% / 26%
(Lower Close from Open is greatest for Monday)
Historic High: 63.8% (8-27-07) / Low: 24.4% (6-22-09)

DJIA Trend Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 7-10-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising 5 vs. Down 26 (+1 vs -2 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Falling (8-day 82.83) vs. (21-day 84.31) -1.48 vs. Prior -1.30 (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Rising 16% vs Prior 13% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 74% vs. Prior 77% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.35 vs. Prior 0.50 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Rising 26 vs. Prior 18 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Rising 13 vs. Prior 11 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Falling 33 vs. Prior 34 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling -22 vs. Prior -3 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,452.49 / Intermediate Term 8,585.79 / Breakout 8,719.10
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,424.28 / Intermediate Term 8,276.84 / Breakdown 8,129.40

Monday's Trading Highlights:
1. Stocks futures mixed ahead of busy earnings week - -
2.European stocks down as Nikkei records 8th loss -
3. European stocks flat ahead of key US earnings -
4. CIT Group still in talks with regulators - -
5. Philips reports 94 percent fall in 2Q profit - -
6. Japan's top 2 beverage makers considering merger - -
7. Oil slides toward $59, extending 2-week sell-off -
8. EU antitrust regulators charge LCD panel makers -
9. GOP unifies against any more stimulus spending -
10.Geithner to focus on investment, economic recovery -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Rising Current -136.78 vs. Previous day -147.01
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Summation Index: Falling Current 2,141.91 vs. Previous day 2,278.70
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Current -.12 vs. Previous day -.13 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Current 13% vs. Previous day 16% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Current 55.77% vs. Previous day 54.32% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Current 42.42% vs. Previous day 42.03% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Current -.24% vs. Previous day -.25% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish, Falling at Baseline, 51% vs. Previous day 53% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet neutral.
(Definition: Baseline is 48 to 52, Neutral Zone)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 74.8% vs Previous day 74.5% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -53% vs. Yesterday -52% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -46% vs. Yesterday -45% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -54% vs. Yesterday -57% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -35% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Unch Trend Today -21% vs. Yesterday -21% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Unch Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -28% vs. Yesterday -30% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -47% vs. Yesterday -46% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -29% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Falling
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising 40 vs. Previous day 24 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Falling 20 vs. Previous day 27 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Falling -124 vs. Previous day -116 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Monday Morning Market Observation:

Well the Tsunami did not occur on Friday after all was said and done. Actually, there was not enough umph in the stock market to do anything with two very low days of volume and very ranges in the various indices that are meaningful to track. Therefore, we look ahead for more clues as to what to do, up or down, sideways or more illusions. The Charts are no help due to the lack of movement, so the dearth of activity presents frustration and summer sweat awaiting the next market mover.

Even MktMetrics is a mixed bag of reasons to buy or sell. Today the DIA is showing a "Probability of Being Up" of 61%. However, the pre-market open are showing the futures as negative. And, since "Lower Close from Open is greatest for Monday," I am hoping that the Shorts and Puts I loaded up on for the past two days will yield a bountiful day of green. What could be better for an environmentalist like me?

This is the week of earnings and economic news, futures and options expiration. I suspect both the volume and volatility will be explosive and be good for all of us.

Good luck and Good trading today.

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Sunday, July 12, 2009

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell & Five Day Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Probability Percent of being "Up" Monday 7-13-09
DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 61% vs. 100% last week

This Week vs. Last Week Trend & Outlook Statistics
DIA Trend: Falling this Week 16% vs. 39% last week
DIA Momentum: Falling this Week 74% vs. 81% last week
DIA Outlook: At Baseline, Falling 51% vs. 63% last week
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, Falling 74.8% vs. 77.8% last week
(Definition: Baseline is 48 to 52, Neutral Zone)

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
This Week's Five Day Forecast (7-13 through 7-17)

Mondays: Rising 27.4% / 26.0% / 24.4% / 25% / 26%
(Lower Close from Open is greatest for Monday)
Historic High: 63.8% (8-27-07) / Low: 24.4% (6-22-09)

Tuesdays: Falling 47.2% / 48.1% / 49.0% / 50.0% / 49.0%
Historic High: 63.8% (8-27-07) / Low: 46.2% (5-5-09)

Wednesdays: Rising 52.7% / 51.8% / 50.9% / 51.9% / 52.7%
(Higher Open is greatest for Wednesday)
Historic High: 79.1% (10-13-07) / Low: 47.1% (11-19-08)

Thursdays: Falling 51.9% / 52.9% / 54.9% / 53.0% / 55.7%
(Lower Open, yet Higher Close from Open is greatest for Thursday)
Historic High: 66.7% (11-13-08) / Low 52.8% (3-12-09)

Fridays: Falling 51.9% / 52.9% / 52.9% / 54.0% / 51.8%
Historic High: 60.7 (1-7-07) / Low 35.9% (10-31-08)

50 Weeks: Falling 46.4% / 46.5% / 46.5% / 47.0% / 47.4%
Historic High: 61.3 (7-13-07) / Low 45.0 (3-6-09)

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Signal & Trend
Sym/Sig/Demand/Range/*IRS/Trend/Volatility

AA SELL 68+ 0.55 42U -0.28+ -0.05D
AXP S/SELL 79+ 0.97 48U -0.28+ 0.40U
BA S/SELL 77+ 1.26 26U -0.76+ -0.15D
BAC SELL+ 14+ 0.53 40U 0.04+ 0.08D
CAT S/SELL 57+ 1.15 28U -0.55+ -0.44D
CSCO S/SELL 41+ 0.37 37U -0.30+ 0.55D
CVX S/SELL 33+ 1.50 22D -0.58+ -0.24U
DD S/SELL 67+ 0.98 39U -0.21+ 0.38U
DIA S/SELL 61- 1.32 35D -0.53+ 0.12D
DIS S/SELL 59- 0.72 33N -0.31+ 0.30D
GE S/SELL 22+ 0.39 31U -0.25+ -0.03D
HD S/SELL 49- 0.73 31U -0.24+ 0.01D
HPQ BUY 79/ 0.88 52D 0.01/ 1.09U
IBM S/SELL 62/ 1.96 31D -0.67+ 1.84D
INTC S/SELL- 47- 0.50 41D -0.20+ 0.08U
JNJ BUY 86+ 0.81 91U 0.15+ 1.77U
JPM S/SELL- 56- 1.29 48D -0.12+ 1.80U
KFT SELL- 30+ 0.63 60U -0.10+ 0.75U
KO SELL 53- 0.65 59D -0.21+ 1.25U
MCD S/SELL 26- 1.09 43U -0.21+ 1.30U
MMM BUY 100+ 1.61 77U -0.01+ 1.16U
MRK SELL 70- 1.04 71D -0.04+ 0.11D
MSFT S/SELL 55+ 0.64 46D -0.14+ -0.11D
PFE S/SELL- 42+ 0.37 45D -0.08+ -0.20D
PG S/BUY 92/ 1.26 84N 0.03+ -0.84U
T S/SELL 16+ 0.52 14D 0.00+ -0.11D
TRV S/SELL 82+ 1.18 41U -0.35+ 0.37D
UTX S/SELL 58+ 1.71 35U -0.44+ -0.45D
VZ S/SELL 67+ 0.59 31D -0.09/ -0.04D
WMT S/SELL 0/ 0.52 10D -0.34/ 1.63D
XOM S/SELL 81+ 1.65 24D -0.51+ -1.35D
*IRS: Price Internal Relative Strength

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Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Stocks In Review Weekly Edition

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This Week's Best & Worst Opportunities

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
TRADING IDEAS for Monday 7-13-09

Selected BEST Positive Stocks (BUY/Go-Long Ideas)
Steady Accumulation confirmed by Up Trend

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
AMX OFV: 37.98 (1.19)
ASML OFV: 21.17 (0.52)
ATLS OFV: 16.65 (0.90)
BCS OFV: 18.65 (0.53)
CHTT OFV: 62.88 (2.36)
CY OFV: 8.76 (0.31)
EPD OFV: 25.76 (0.42)
EWH OFV: 13.20 (0.23)
EWJ OFV: 9.18 (0.11)
EWU OFV: 12.56 (0.27)
GRMN OFV: 22.78 (0.75)
ICON OFV: 14.81 (0.63)
JBL OFV: 6.75 (0.38)
KMT OFV: 16.98 (0.79)
LQD OFV: 100.51 (0.59)
LWSN OFV: 5.22 (0.28)
LXK OFV: 16.95 (0.43)
MCHP OFV: 22.48 (0.85)
MMM OFV: 59.20 (1.61)
NTAP OFV: 19.06 (0.78)
OVTI OFV: 11.10 (0.57)
PHI OFV: 48.58 (0.76)
PPD OFV: 44.03 (1.38)
RBC OFV: 40.06 (0.69)
RE OFV: 72.46 (1.77)
ROK OFV: 30.80 (0.81)
RSG OFV: 23.74 (0.61)
SHLM OFV: 16.98 (0.93)
SRSL OFV: 6.56 (0.38)
TKLC OFV: 17.00 (0.52)
TNDM OFV: 27.26 (1.56)
TRW OFV: 12.06 (0.58)
TSCO OFV: 44.88 (1.33)
UNTD OFV: 6.77 (0.45)
USM OFV: 36.29 (1.11)
VIA OFV: 21.08 (0.97)
VSEA OFV: 25.23 (1.01)
WFMI OFV: 19.11 (0.81)
WIRE OFV: 19.90 (0.66)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected WORST Negative Stocks (SELL/Go-Short Ideas)
Steady Distribution confirmed by Down Trend

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
AGU OFV: 36.91 (1.80)
AMGN OFV: 57.98 (1.37)
APOL OFV: 65.42 (2.24)
BBH OFV: 93.86 (1.42)
BIIB OFV: 45.11 (1.36)
BSX OFV: 9.65 (0.37)
CAH OFV: 29.51 (0.83)
ELN OFV: 6.91 (0.63)
FSLR OFV: 145.19 (7.21)
GILD OFV: 44.63 (0.80)
LDK OFV: 8.71 (0.76)
MCRS OFV: 23.14 (0.88)
MOS OFV: 42.06 (2.68)
SPWRA OFV: 22.92 (1.35)
SSRI OFV: 17.19 (0.72)
TNH OFV: 98.36 (3.40)
TWTC OFV: 8.79 (0.40)
VFC OFV: 54.57 (1.65)
WMT OFV: 47.78 (0.52)
XLV OFV: 25.72 (0.43)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

In the 1960's, Analyst Joseph Granville of E.F. Hutton & Co., originated "on balance volume" and developed a theory that "volume preceeds price" as a characteristic of stock price movement, up or down. Of the 1,000 stocks & ETFs Gale Financial Market Econometrics tracks for its MktMetrics.com subscribers, Unusual Volume was noticed in the following TOP SEVENTEEN issues from last Friday's trading results:

Symbol Rating *OFV (Proposed Range)
KMT OFV: 16.98 (0.79)
ISI OFV: 39.34 (0.61)
VIA OFV: 21.08 (0.97)
POT OFV: 89.59 (5.49)
MANH OFV: 15.41 (0.73)
MOS OFV: 42.06 (2.68)
SGR OFV: 23.91 (0.95)
LWSN OFV: 5.22 (0.28)
CLB OFV: 80.32 (1.51)
IPI OFV: 24.58 (2.01)
IBKR OFV: 15.49 (0.20)
INFY OFV: 35.60 (0.79)
LLY OFV: 33.27 (0.70)
OVTI OFV: 11.10 (0.57)
DELL OFV: 13.23 (0.49)
ELX OFV: 9.09 (0.64)
TRW OFV: 12.06 (0.58)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com for daily, much more detailed, Stock and Exchange Traded Funds analysis from our Pattern Recognition Algorithm Trading Program, all on one page!

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Good Luck and Good Trading Monday!

Douglas Gale, President & Founder
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
www.MktMetrics.com
www.GaleFinancialMarketEconometrics.blogspot.com

Saturday, July 11, 2009

Stock Market Analysis Weekly ETF Edition

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending July 10, 2009 (Current Statistics plus Historic: Highs /Lows)

U.S. Economic Health Formula
Definition: (>1.00 is Bearish) (<1.00 is Bullish)

Sym Rating PrIS Trend Demand = Result
UUP SELL 37 18 88 143
USO SELL 40 -43 87 84 = 1.70

SPY SELL 43 -46 76 73
GLD SELL 15 -29 21 07 = 10.43

RTH SELL 29 -44 30 15
DBC SELL 35 -13 97 119 = 0.13

Conclusion 7-10-09:
(1.70+10.43+.13)/3 = 4.09 (Very Bearish)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, yet Falling 74.8% vs Last week: 77.8% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean: 50.9%

DJIA Outlook: At Baseline, Falling 51% vs Last week: 63% (Historic: High 89% / Low 2% 3-6-09) Mean: 45.5%
(Definition: Baseline is 48 to 52, Neutral Zone)

DJIA Trading Range: High 14,164.53(10-11-07) / Low 6,443.27(3-6-09) (Range: 7,721.26) (Mean: 10,303.90)

DJIA Closed: 8,146.52 -134.22 vs. Last week: 8,280.74 -157.65
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 8,424.28 -132.54 vs. Last week: 8,556.82 -40.10
DJIA Trend: Falling 16% vs. Last week: 39% (High 100% 3-31-09 / Low: 0% 6-27-08 9-13-08)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 74% vs. Last week: 81% (High 97% / Low 0% 10-24,11-12,11-21-08& 2-25,3-6-09)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.35% vs. Last week: 0.85% (High 9.80% 10-10-08 / Low -2.37% 11-28-08)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling -22 vs. Last week +324 (High 1,957 5-11-09 / Low -3,881 11-20-08)
DJIA Resistance: Falling 8,585.79 -120.77 vs. Last week 8,706.56 -42.47 (High: +236 4-3-09 Low: -543 10-24-08
DJIA Breakout: Falling 8,8719.10 vs. Last week 8,856.30
DJIA Support: Falling 8,276.84 -139.61 vs. Last week: 8,416.45 -30.81 (High: +224 4-10-09 Low: -525 10-24-08)
DJIA Breakdown: Falling 8,129.40 vs. Last week: 8,257.30
DJIA Regression Channel Statistics: Rising Current -.342 vs. Last week: -.354 (High +.463 / Low -.478 4-9-09)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Falling -178 vs. Last week: 7 (High +704 4-3-09 / Low -965 10-10-08)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Falling -194 vs. Last week: -126 (High +349 / Low -646 10-27-08)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Falling -3.30% vs. Last week: -3.23% (High 10.56% 3-26-09 / Low -19.26% 10-10-08)
DJIA Stochastic 5-Day Indicator: Falling 26 vs. Last week: 47 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 13 vs. Last week: 26 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Rising 33 vs. Last week: 30 (High 97 / Low 11)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Falling -124 vs. Last week: -96 (High 255 / Low -285)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Rising 0.7 vs. Last week: 0.4 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)

"Let's take a deeper look into what the Smart Money is currently doing with their Inventory."

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Falling -136.78 vs Last week: -59.32 (High 365 / Low -416)

Summation Index: Falling 2,141.91 vs Last week: 2,890.44 (High 4,822 5-12-09 / Low -4,699)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling -.12% vs Last week: -.11% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.31% (6-27-08)

Institutional Money Flow Index: Falling 13% vs Last week: 29% (High 97% 9-19,10-1-07, 4-3-09 / Low 0% 6-25,10-9,17,24,11-13-08; 2-26-09)

Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 55.77% vs Last week: 54.71% (High 86.8% / Low 8.16% 10-9-08)

Institutional Inventory Index: Falling 42.42% vs Last week: 50.65% (High 81.1% / Low 6.42% 10-9-08)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling -.24 vs Last week: -.18 (High +.45 4-3-09 / Low -.77 10-10-08)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Falling 94 vs Last week: 98 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)

Speculation Index: Falling -.583 vs Last week: -.428 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.601 10-22-08)

One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Unch 2.24% vs Last week: 2.24% (5.27% / Low 2.71% 4-9-09) (2.24% at newdominionDIRECT.com Charlotte, NC)
CD Rate information provided by BankRate CD Alert

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125 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis

Symbol: Trend +/- vs Last Week (Historic: High / Low) Rating Demand Factor

Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.53 vs Last week: -.36 (High .95 / Low -1.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61+
S&P 500 Large-Cap
SPY: -.46 vs Last week: -.26 (High .78 / Low -1.88) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 76+
S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.54 vs Last week: -.25 (High 1.15 / Low -2.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 84-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.35 vs Last week: -.21 (High .72 / Low -1.14) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 77-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.21 vs Last week: -.07 (High .54 / Low -.85) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 83-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.09 vs Last week: -.22 (High 1.58 / Low -4.28)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
2. Broadband
BDH: -.33 vs Last week: +.01 (High .57 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 6/
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: -.22 vs Last week: +.16 (High .41 / Low -.38) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 77-
4. Chicago Mercantile Exchange
CME: -3.20 vs Last week: -.12 (High 4.84 / Low -7.92)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65-
5. PowerShares DB Agriculture
DBA: -.15 vs Last week: +.07 (High .65 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 89-
6. Deutsche Bank Commodity
DBC: -.13 vs Last week: +.11 (High .68 / Low -.99) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 97-
7. Ultra Dow 30 Power Shares
DDM: -.45 vs Last week: -.31 (High 1.00 / Low -1.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66+
8. Ultra Oil & Gas ProShares
DIG: -.54 vs Last week: -.33 (High .81 / Low -2.10) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 73+
9. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares
DUG: +.40 vs Last week: +.29 (High 1.64/ Low -1.45) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 42-
10. Dow Jones Select Dividend
DVY: -.22 vs Last week: -.17 (High .69 / Low -.79) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66+
11. Ultra Short Dow 30 Power Shares
DXD: +.46 vs Last week: +.31 (High 1.68 / Low -1.64)Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 22-
12. BRIC (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: -.24 vs Last week: -.02 (High .86 / Low -.84) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 73+
13. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.21 vs Last week: -.05 (High 1.29 / Low -1.83) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 78/
14. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: -.23 vs Last week: -.17 (High .62 / Low -.97) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 86+
15. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: -.13 vs Last week: -.08 (High 1.36 / Low -1.25) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 96+
16. Australia
EWA: -.10 vs Last week: -.05 (High .81 / Low -.51) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 77+
17. Canada
EWC: -.20 vs Last week: -.15 (High .52 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 60+
18. Sweden
EWD: -.03 vs Last week: +.10 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 97+
19. Germany
EWG: -.38 vs Last week: -.33 (High .61 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 52-
20. Hong Kong
EWH: +.04 vs Last week: -.00 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
21. Italy
EWI: +.05 vs Last week: -.20 (High .51 / Low -.63) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 88+
22. Japan
EWJ: +.12 vs Last week: +.03 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
23. Belgium
EWK: +.08 vs Last week: -.00 (High .60 / Low -.83) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 97+
24. Switzerland
EWL: -.09 vs Last week: -.11 (High .64 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 93+
25. Malaysia
EWM: +.11 vs Last week: +.11 (High .39 / Low -.22) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98/
26. Netherlands
EWN: -.15 vs Last week: -.13 (High .64 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 77+
27. Austria
EWO: -.49 vs Last week: -.46 (High .54 / Low -.97) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1+
28. Spain
EWP: -.09 vs Last week: +.08 (High .75 / Low -.89) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 83-
29. France
EWQ: -.16 vs Last week: -.08 (High .56 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 89+
30. Singapore
EWS: -.04 vs Last week: -.05 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 37+
31. Taiwan
EWT: -.25 vs Last week: -.31 (High .40 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 6+
32. United Kingdom
EWU: +.03 vs Last week: +.09 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
33. Mexico
EWW: -.19 vs Last week: -.02 (High .72 / Low -1.22) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 75-
34. South Korea
EWY: -.15 vs Last week: -.13 (High .69 / Low -1.09) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71+
35. Brazil
EWZ: -.37 vs Last week: -.17 (High 1.00 / Low -1.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 73+
36. South Africa
EZA: -.15 vs Last week: -.01 (High 1.72 / Low -1.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 90-
37. FTSE/Xinhua China 25
FXI: -.12 vs Last week: -.00 (High 2.91 / Low -2.27) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91+
38. ProShares US FTSE/XI
FXP: +.03 vs Last week: -.03 (High 3.04 / Low -4.34) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 7-
39. SPDR Gold Trust
GLD: -.29 vs Last week: -.12 (High .80 / Low -.98) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21-
40. Internet
HHH: -.24 vs Last week: -.24 (High .64 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 89+
41. High Yield Corporate Bonds
HYG: -.22 vs Last week: +.08 (High .80 / Low -.97) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 81-
42. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.03 vs Last week: +.15 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 44+
43. Broker-Dealers
IAI: -.11 vs Last week: -.04 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 67-
44. Insurance
IAK: -.09 vs Last week: +.01 (High .62 / Low -.97) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 62-
45. Comex Gold
IAU: -.26 vs Last week: -.18 (High .84 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 51-
46. Biotechnology
IBB: +.01 vs Last week: -.00 (High .70 / Low -.84) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47-
47. InterContinental Exchange
ICE: -1.76 vs Last week: -.17 (High 1.82 /Low -2.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
48. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: -.43 vs Last week: -.33 (High .98 / Low -1.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 78-
49. Utilities
IDU: -.02 vs Last week: +.15 (High .78 / Low -1.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 72+
50. S&P Europe 350
IEV: -.19 vs Last week: -.17 (High .84 / Low -2.42) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 85+
51. Natural Resources
IGE: -.38 vs Last week: -.22 (High 1.35 / Low -4.09) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66-
52. Networking
IGN: -.11 vs Last week: +.03 (High .67 / Low -.71) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 88+
53. Software
IGV: -.11 vs Last week: +.02 (High .66 / Low -.79) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 95-
54. Semiconductor
IGW: -.16 vs Last week: +.12 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 94-
55. India Investment Fund
IIF: -.36 vs Last week: -.09 (High .88 / Low -1.11) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71-
56. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.41 vs Last week: -.18 (High .78 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 80-
57. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.44 vs Last week: -.18 (High .76 / Low -1.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 82/
58. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.27 vs Last week: -.14 (High .83 / Low -1.05) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 79-
59. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: -.20 vs Last week: -.08 (High 2.68 / Low -9.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 73+
60. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.28 vs Last week: -.31 (High .81 / Low -1.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 46+
61. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.69 vs Last week: -.50 (High .64 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 56-
62. S&P TOPIX 150
ITF: -.13 vs Last week: -.05 (High .92 / Low -2.00) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 95/
63. Russell 2000 Growth
IWO: -.42 vs Last week: -.19 (High .83 / Low -1.05) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 59-
64. Global Financial
IXG: -.49 vs Last week: -.24 (High .79 / Low -1.06) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1-
65. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.19 vs Last week: -.28 (High .78 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 87+
66. Energy
IYE: -.36 vs Last week: -.34 (High 1.29 / Low -1.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61+
67. Financial Services
IYG: -.30 vs Last week: -.19 (High .85 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 42-
68. Healthcare
IYH: -.02 vs Last week: -.09 (High .54 / Low -.91) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 50-
69. Industrial
IYJ: -.41 vs Last week: -.30 (High .60 / Low -.97) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65+
70. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.30 vs Last week: -.21 (High .58 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 78-
71. Basic Materials
IYM: -.40 vs Last week: -.17 (High .84 / Low -1.30) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 90+
72. Real Estate
IYR: -.23 vs Last week: -.19 (High .64 / Low -1.26) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 94/
73. Transportation
IYT: -.28 vs Last week: -.13 (High .87 / Low -1.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 82+
74. Technology
IYW: -.26 vs Last week: -.08 (High .54 / Low -.92) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 77-
75. Total Market Index
IYY: -.36 vs Last week: -.23 (High .84 / Low -.98) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 80-
76. Telecommunications
IYZ: -.17 vs Last week: -.15 (High .43 / Low -.71 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64-
77. Investment Grade Corporate Bonds
LQD: +.46 vs Last week: +.17 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
78. Market Vectors Global Agribusiness
MOO: -.49 vs Last week: -.27 (High .64 / Low -1.29) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 9-
79. Ultra Short Mid-Cap 400 Power Shares
MZZ: +.34 vs Last week: +.11 (High 2.77 / Low -1.96) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 18-
80. NYSE Euronext Group
NYX: -.37 vs Last week: -.15 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 80-
81. NASDAQ Stock Market
NDAQ: -.32 vs Last week: -.07 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 43-
82. S&P 100 Index
OEF: -.19 vs Last week: -.10 (High .64 / Low -1.29) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 79+
83. Oil Services
OIH: -1.03 vs Last week: -.78 (High 2.43 /Low -3.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 67+
84. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.38 vs Last week: +.11 (High .72 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 55-
85. PowerShares Water Resources
PHO: -.14 vs Last week: -.04 (High .86 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21-
86. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: +.10 vs Last week: -.00 (High .80 / Low -1.04) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 24/
87. PowerShares Dynamic Software
PSJ: +.01 vs Last week: +.06 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 42-
88. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.36 vs Last week: -.17 (High .57 / Low -.77) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15-
89. Ultra Short QQQ Power Shares
QID: +.21 vs Last week: +.04 (High 1.86 / Low -1.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11-
90. Ultra QQQ ProShares
QLD: -.31 vs Last week: -.10 (High 1.14 / Low -1.92) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 89/
91. Regional Banks
RKH: -.29 vs Last week: -.14 (High 1.37 / Low -1.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 60-
92. Eastern Europe
RNE: -.22 vs Last week: -.07 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 28-
93. Retail
RTH: -.44 vs Last week: -.43 (High .91 / Low -1.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 30-
94. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: -.24 vs Last week: -.21 (High .78 / Low -1.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 92+
95. UltraShort S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: +.42 vs Last week: +.22 (High 2.23 / Low: -2.14)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19+
96. Ultra Short Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: +.61 vs Last week: +.25 (High 3.32 / Low -3.18)Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 51-
97. Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bonds
SHY: +.26 vs Last week: +.04 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 26+
98. Ultra Short Russell 2000 Growth ProShares
SKK: +.20 vs Last week: -.06 (High 1.99 / Low -2.55)Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 36+
99. Silver Trust
SLV: -.35 vs Last week: -.27 (High 2.31 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40+
100. Semiconductor
SMH: -.12 vs Last week: +.02 (High .48 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 86+
101. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares
SRS: +.20 vs Last week: +.14 (High 5.25 / Low -3.10)Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 8-
102. Ultra S&P500 ProShares
SSO: -.32 vs Last week: -.19 (High 2.23 / Low: -2.41)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71+
103. Software
SWH: -.14 vs Last week: -.24 (High .61 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 77+
104. Barclays 20-Year+ Treasury Bonds
TLT: +.61 vs Last week: +.04 (High .76 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84+
105. Telecommunications
TTH: -.11 vs Last week: -.07 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 75-
106. PowerShares US Dollar Index Bearish
UDN: -.01 vs Last week: -.02 (High .61 / Low -.91) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 95
107. U.S. Natural Gas
UNG: -.20 vs Last week: +.02 (High .61 / Low -.91) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 41-
108. U.S. Oil
USO: -.43 vs Last week: -.03 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 87-
109. Utilities
UTH: +.06 vs Last week: +.23 (High .95 / Low -1.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
110. PowerShares US Dollar Index Bullish
UUP: +.18 vs Last week: +.17 (High .61 / Low -.91) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 88-
111. Wireless
WMH: -.52 vs Last week: -.34 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 3-
112. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: -.13 vs Last week: -.11 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 56+
113. Materials Select Sector
XLB: -.39 vs Last week: -.24 (High .45 / Low -.67) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 38-
114. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.47 vs Last week: -.36 (High .80 / Low -1.31) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66+
115. Financial Select Sector
XLF: -.10 vs Last week: -.02 (High .46 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 70/
116. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: -.23 vs Last week: -.23 (High .46 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 39+
117. Technology Select Sector
XLK: -.08 vs Last week: -.00 (High .51 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 64+
118. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: -.14 vs Last week: -.21 (High .59 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 27-
119. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: -.13 vs Last week: -.19 (High .57 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
120. Consumer Discretionary Select Sector
XLY: -.33 vs Last week: -.33 (High .44 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10+
121. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: -.57 vs Last week: -.12 (High .98 / Low -1.45) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 53-

125 Exchange Traded Funds(ETF) tracked: (Historic: High= 90% 5-15-09 / Low= 5% 10-31-08)

This week's ETFs results: FALLING, Buy 19 / Sell 106 (15%) vs. Last week: Falling, Buy 27 / Sell 98 (22%) vs. Prior week: Fallng, Buy 70 / Sell 55 (56%)

Dow Past Ten Weekly Net Close: -134.22(7-10) -157.65(7-2) -101.34(6-26) -259.53(6-19) +36.13(6-12) +262.80(6-5) +223.01(5-29) +8.68(5-22) -306.01(5-15) +362.24(5-8)

Options & Futures Expiration: Friday 7-17-09 (4-week cycle)

www.GaleFinancialMarketEconometrics.blogspot.com
(First daily information available)
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
The three daily blogs provide:
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8:00amET "Stock Market Forecast" and Institutional Investor statistics
8:15amET "DIA(ETF) Forecast" illustrating the MktMetrics.com Trading Program

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Friday, July 10, 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Friday Forecast

Note: If our prediction is correct, a DOW 300+ Point DOWN-day may happen today.

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

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Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 07/10/09
Last Updated: 07/09/09

07/09/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 82.29
(High) 82.41
(Low) 81.53
(Close)81.77
(Range) 0.88

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 81.98
Today's Predicted High:82.31
Today's Predicted Low: 81.23
Today's Proposed Range: 1.08
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 35 Down from 37
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.70/0.87 Down
Current Trend: Negative -52 Down from -49
Demand Factor: 62 Up from 59
Stock Volatility: 0.48 Down from 1.52

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
07/09/09 12:45 Close: 82.00
Upside Potential: 82.71
Downside Potential: 80.55

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 83.16
2. 83.41
3. 83.94
4. 84.06

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 80.76
2. 80.64
3. 80.13
4. 79.90

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.30
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.60
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.29
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.89
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.69
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.57
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.39
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.88

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Friday: 48%
DJIA Trend: Falling 13%
DJIA Momentum: Rising 77%
Dow Outlook: Bullish, Falling 53%
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, Falling 74.5%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Friday July 10 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

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Thursday 7-9-09 DJIA Closed: 8,183.17 +4.76 vs. prior day: 8,178.41 +14.81
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,452.49 -27.61 vs. prior day: 8,480.10 -27.91
DJIA Closed: -3.19% Below its Falling 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -3.56% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Friday July 10 Stock Market Forecast

Fridays: Unch 52.9% / 52.9% / 54.0% / 51.8% / 50.0%
Historic High: 60.7 (1-7-07) / Low 35.9% (10-31-08)

DJIA Trend Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling 4 vs. Down 27 (-2 vs -3 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Falling (8-day 83.30) vs. (21-day 84.60) -1.30 vs. Prior -1.27 (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Falling 13% vs Prior 19% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 77% vs. Prior 74% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.50 vs. Prior 1.01 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Falling 18 vs. Prior 19 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Unch 11 vs. Prior 11 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Falling 34 vs. Prior 37 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling -3 vs. Prior 161 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,480.10 / Intermediate Term 8,614.20 / Breakout 8,748.30
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,452.49 / Intermediate Term 8,304.59 / Breakdown 8,156.70

Friday's Trading Highlights:
1. Stock futures point to lower Wall Street open -
1a.European stocks down as Nikkei records 8th loss -
2. Oil below $60 as traders eye company results -
3. New General Motors expected to exit Chapter 11 -
4. Draft: World leaders launch $15Bln food initiative -
5. Report: AIG asks gov't to approve bonus payments -
6. Geithner says derivatives blindsided the gov't -
7. China's June exports down 21.4 percent -
8. Citigroup shuffles executives, former CFO leaving -
9. China says Rio Tinto employees stole state secrets -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Rising Current -147.01 vs. Previous day -203.01
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Summation Index: Falling Current 2,278.70 vs. Previous day 2,425.70
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Current -.13 vs. Previous day -.12 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch Current 16% vs. Previous day 16% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, Negative yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Falling Current 54.32% vs. Previous day 55.81% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Current 42.03% vs. Previous day 44.32% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Unch Current -.25% vs. Previous day -.25% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed below its Mean, Negative yet flat.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish, Falling near Baseline, 53% vs. Previous day 57% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, Falling 74.5% vs Previous day 75.0% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -52% vs. Yesterday -49% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -45% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -57% vs. Yesterday -51% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -37% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -21% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -30% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -46% vs. Yesterday -44% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -21% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -29% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Falling
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling 24 vs. Previous day 27 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Falling 27 vs. Previous day 31 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Rising -116 vs. Previous day -153 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Friday Morning Market Observation:

As President Obama meets with Pope Benedict XVI today, they should conclude with a prayer for U.S. Equities as today could be a real downer! Tsunami now?

Have a great weekend.

Good luck and Good trading today!!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Thursday, July 09, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Friday July 10 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
Trading Ideas for Friday

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA Probability of being "Up" Friday: 48%

DJIA Trend Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Selected Stocks expected to Close "HIGHER" Friday
BUY/Go-Long Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV: (Proposed Range)
AMX OFV: 38.18 (0.87)
ATLS OFV: 16.92 (0.76)
BVF OFV: 13.41 (0.44)
CHTT OFV: 61.68 (1.87)
DIOD OFV: 15.36 (1.27)
EPD OFV: 25.60 (0.40)
EWJ OFV: 9.28 (0.10)
HLF OFV: 30.21 (0.97)
HSY OFV: 36.92 (0.86)
ICON OFV: 14.97 (0.70)
LH OFV: 67.24 (1.45)
LQD OFV: 100.29 (0.57)
LWSN OFV: 5.35 (0.23)
NTAP OFV: 18.81 (0.62)
PHI OFV: 48.94 (0.68)
RNOW OFV: 10.41 (0.57)
SRSL OFV: 6.63 (0.43)
TKLC OFV: 16.89 (0.53)
TRW OFV: 11.63 (0.64)
TSCO OFV: 44.80 (1.33)
UNTD OFV: 6.72 (0.33)
WFMI OFV: 19.04 (0.73)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to Close "LOWER" Friday
SELL/Go-Short Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
ABX OFV: 32.07 (0.97)
ALXN OFV: 37.13 (1.55)
AMGN OFV: 58.46 (1.20)
APOL OFV: 65.39 (2.53)
BBH OFV: 94.49 (1.38)
BEBE OFV: 6.00 (0.31)
BIO OFV: 70.24 (1.73)
BSX OFV: 9.77 (0.24)
CAH OFV: 29.87 (0.70)
CSTR OFV: 25.69 (0.83)
DRYS OFV: 5.32 (0.24)
ELN OFV: 7.16 (0.80)
EWO OFV: 15.37 (0.23)
EWT OFV: 10.52 (0.14)
FRO OFV: 20.02 (0.86)
FSLR OFV: 148.63 (7.86)
GVA OFV: 30.54 (0.83)
MYGN OFV: 24.77 (1.37)
SJT OFV: 12.99 (0.38)
SPWRA OFV: 23.53 (1.14)
SSRI OFV: 17.48 (0.62)
SUN OFV: 22.42 (0.77)
TOL OFV: 15.75 (0.52)
TWTC OFV: 8.80 (0.33)
VFC OFV: 54.65 (1.67)
WMH OFV: 43.26 (0.58)
WMT OFV: 48.38 (0.58)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

*Of 1,000 stocks & ETFs tracked, Unusual Volume appeared in these TOP SEVENTEEN issues from Thursday's trading results, in decending order:

Symbol Rating *OFV: (Proposed Range)
ELX OFV: 8.60 (0.61)
CHTT OFV: 61.68 (1.87)
KMT OFV: 15.76 (0.53)
EWP OFV: 38.82 (0.61)
EXBD OFV: 17.20 (0.79)
AA OFV: 9.62 (0.42)
DLX OFV: 13.76 (0.78)
OVTI OFV: 10.70 (0.46)
TSU OFV: 17.36 (0.83)
ICE OFV: 87.59 (3.69)
FE OFV: 37.97 (1.01)
LWSN OFV: 5.35 (0.23)
SKK OFV: 36.68 (1.26)
FXP OFV: 12.82 (0.40)
INFY OFV: 34.56 (0.90)
LTD OFV: 10.72 (0.61)
WST OFV: 32.93 (0.61)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

I'm often asked what my favorite and most predictive indicators are in analyzing the Current Trend of the stock market. Here are my Favorite Five:
1. DJIA Outlook: Falling 53% vs. 57% previous day (High 86% 6-12)
2. DJIA Trend: Falling 13% vs. 19% previous day (High 84% 6-4)
3. Institutional Demand: Falling 54.32% vs. 58.81% previous day (High 75.87% 6-8)
4. DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling -3 vs. 161 previous day (High: 1957 5-18)
5. DIA ma diff. 8-day vs 21-day: Falling -1.30 vs. -1.27 prior day (High: 4.31)

Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com and receive the complete daily information you need to become a successful Investor/Trader. You can beat the NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers at their own game by using our Pattern Recognition Algorithm Trading Program to make better investment decisions.

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

MktMetrics.com has been serving Institutional Investors and High Net Worth Individuals since April 2005, Douglas Gale its Founder, has 34 years experience as a successful Securites Trader and former technology vendor to Schwab CyberTrader.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Thursday Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Below is an example of the MktMetrics program using DIA ETF current information. Our pattern recognition algorithm trading program covers the 1,000 most actively traded stocks and ETFs. Get a "14-Day FREE Trial" subscription to www.MktMetrics.com and begin to improved your trading results today!

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 07/09/09
Last Updated: 07/08/09

07/08/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 81.93
(High) 82.28
(Low) 80.96
(Close)81.93
(Range) 1.32

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 81.70
Today's Predicted High:82.54
Today's Predicted Low: 81.32
Today's Proposed Range: 1.22
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 37 Up from 32
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.20/0.88 Up
Current Trend: Negative -49 Up from -53
Demand Factor: 59 Up from 51
Stock Volatility: 1.52 Down from 2.53

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
07/08/09 12:45 Close: 81.23
Upside Potential: 83.49
Downside Potential: 81.05

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 82.58
2. 83.57
3. 83.57
4. 83.93

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 80.63
2. 80.29
3. 80.29
4. 79.34

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.62
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.89
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.34
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.98
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.65
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.54
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.41
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.02

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Thursday: 35%
DJIA Trend: Falling 19%
DJIA Momentum: Falling 74%
Dow Outlook: Bullish, Falling 57%
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 75.0%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Thursday July 9 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Trial" to www.MktMetrics.com- See for yourself before you make a trade, at what price NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Wednesday 7-8-09 DJIA Closed: 8,178.41 +14.81 vs. prior day: 8,163.60 -161.27
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,480.10 -27.91 vs. prior day: 8,508.01 -28.55
DJIA Closed: -3.56% Below its Falling 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -4.05% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Thursday July 9 Stock Market Forecast

Thursdays: Falling 52.9% / 54.9% / 53.0% / 55.7% / 54.0%
(Lower Open, yet Higher Close from Open is greatest for Thursday)
Historic High: 66.7% (11-13-08) / Low 52.8% (3-12-09)

DJIA Trend Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling 6 vs. Down 25 (-3 vs -2 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Falling (8-day 83.62) vs. (21-day 84.89) -1.27 vs. Prior -1.19 (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Falling 19% vs Prior 29% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Unch 74% vs. Prior 74% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 1.01 vs. Prior 1.39 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Rising 19 vs. Prior 13 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Rising 11 vs. Prior 9 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Rising 37 vs. Prior 36 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising 161 vs. Prior 139 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,508.01 / Intermediate Term 8,642.45 / Breakout 8,776.90
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,480.10 / Intermediate Term 8,331.70 / Breakdown 8,183.30

Thursday's Trading Highlights:
1. Stock futures point to higher Wall Street open -
2. World markets up modestly as Alcoa beats forecasts -
3. Alcoa posts 2Q loss but sees some stability -
4. Oil rises above $61 despite uncertain demand -
5. China says Rio Tinto employees stole state secrets -
6. Official: 7 SKorean Web sites under renewed attack -
7. G8 opens to developing market economies -
8. German exports fall 25 percent in May; June CPI up -
9. China passes US auto market in first-half sales -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Falling Current -203.01 vs. Previous day -171.60
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Summation Index: Falling Current 2,425.70 vs. Previous day 2,628.72
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Unch Current -.12 vs. Previous day -.12 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed below its Mean, Negative yet flat.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Current 16% vs. Previous day 19% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Current 55.81% vs. Previous day 53.77% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Current 44.32% vs. Previous day 44.03% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Current -.25% vs. Previous day -.24% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish, Falling 57% vs. Previous day 60% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 75.0% vs Previous day 73.0% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today -49% vs. Yesterday -53% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -41% vs. Yesterday -42% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -51% vs. Yesterday -53% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -34% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -20% vs. Yesterday -21% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -44% vs. Yesterday -45% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Unch Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -21% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Unch Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Falling
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising 27 vs. Previous day 11 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Falling 31 vs. Previous day 34 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Falling -153 vs. Previous day -148 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Thursday Morning Market Observation:

Yesterday's 10-Year Treasury auction went extremely well. So we must ask ourselves if this is a sign of more money leaving the table because of negative things to come? I believe so since low yields are the last resort, but preferably during tough times.

Today is Thursday and the Jobless Claims announcement comes early prior to the trading day. Yesterday, the DJIA should have been up more than +14.81 which tells me that the Claims number may not be good. There has been two days in a row of over 2,000 declines in the Advance/Decline Index, which goes to show the Breadth of the Market stinks. This is significant due to the fact that the 21-day moving average of the A/D Line has held up quite well lately, but has now pushed into a decline along with practically all of the other technical indicators we can find.

DJIA 8170 is a weak support for this complex. I am still under the impression that the Dow will need to head south for the summer and hit at least 7900 and most likely lower to 7100 before the dust settles. Thursday is showing a MktMetrics Probability of Being Up Today of only 35%. While this is nothing to hang your hat on for a positive outcome, the mood of the market will be set early on by the Jobless Claims number to be reported at 8:30am ET. Let's see what happens after the Report.

Good luck and Good trading today!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Thursday July 9 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
Trading Ideas for Thursday

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 35%

DJIA Trend Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Selected Stocks expected to Close "HIGHER" Thursday
BUY/Go-Long Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV: (Proposed Range)
AMX OFV: 37.48 (0.87)
ATAC OFV: 13.94 (0.65)
ATLS OFV: 15.95 (0.70)
BCS OFV: 18.37 (0.51)
BLL OFV: 45.99 (1.33)
CCK OFV: 24.04 (0.71)
EPD OFV: 25.03 (0.53)
EWJ OFV: 9.25 (0.12)
GYMB OFV: 34.24 (1.24)
HLF OFV: 30.24 (1.07)
HPT OFV: 12.25 (0.47)
HSY OFV: 36.75 (0.72)
ICON OFV: 14.95 (0.60)
LH OFV: 67.50 (1.35)
LQD OFV: 100.08 (0.68)
MDCO OFV: 8.08 (0.37)
MENT OFV: 6.05 (0.64)
PHI OFV: 48.88 (0.62)
PPD OFV: 44.13 (1.33)
RE OFV: 72.23 (1.56)
SHLM OFV: 16.60 (0.63)
SNX OFV: 26.82 (1.84)
SRSL OFV: 6.75 (0.38)
TKLC OFV: 16.60 (0.32)
TNDM OFV: 26.71 (1.47)
TSCO OFV: 44.18 (1.24)
WFMI OFV: 18.04 (0.79)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to Close "LOWER" Thursday
SELL/Go-Short Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
ALXN OFV: 37.55 (1.79)
APOL OFV: 66.48 (2.42)
BBH OFV: 95.75 (1.39)
BEAT OFV: 8.81 (0.77)
BIO OFV: 71.11 (1.82)
BSX OFV: 9.92 (0.30)
CTX OFV: 7.73 (0.34)
DHI OFV: 8.42 (0.26)
DRYS OFV: 5.23 (0.23)
ELN OFV: 7.39 (0.92)
EWO OFV: 15.31 (0.28)
GILD OFV: 45.30 (0.83)
GVA OFV: 30.49 (0.99)
HIG OFV: 10.39 (0.52)
IACI OFV: 15.82 (0.34)
JEC OFV: 37.34 (1.50)
JRCC OFV: 13.70 (0.77)
KBH OFV: 11.54 (0.60)
MYGN OFV: 24.88 (1.44)
MYL OFV: 12.34 (0.42)
PCX OFV: 5.35 (0.35)
PHM OFV: 8.01 (0.35)
SJT OFV: 13.23 (0.42)
SPWRA OFV: 23.34 (0.71)
SSRI OFV: 17.22 (0.71)
STV OFV: 7.44 (0.53)
TNH OFV: 97.11 (4.18)
TOL OFV: 15.71 (0.49)
TWTC OFV: 8.86 (0.23)
UAUA OFV: 3.25 (0.21)
USG OFV: 9.02 (0.48)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

*Of 1,000 stocks & ETFs tracked, Unusual Volume appeared in these TOP FORTY TWO issues from Wednesday's trading results, in decending order:

Symbol Rating *OFV: (Proposed Range)
PWO OFV: 32.73 (0.30)
DFS OFV: 9.35 (0.51)
AMGN OFV: 60.09 (1.06)
EWK OFV: 9.75 (0.17)
TSCO OFV: 44.18 (1.24)
ICE OFV: 89.50 (3.88)
FDO OFV: 30.63 (0.67)
IGN OFV: 22.19 (0.42)
IYC OFV: 42.56 (0.80)
BBH OFV: 95.75 (1.39)
IAH OFV: 37.73 (0.44)
IXG OFV: 34.92 (0.74)
FXP OFV: 13.32 (0.34)
ININ OFV: 12.85 (0.66)
EWI OFV: 15.23 (0.34)
HOT OFV: 19.05 (0.77)
ZBRA OFV: 21.63 (0.72)
CKSW OFV: 5.54 (0.57)
CME OFV: 271.75 (9.09)
WFMI OFV: 18.04 (0.79)
CHTT OFV: 62.84 (1.17)
ADSK OFV: 17.39 (0.67)
BEAT OFV: 8.81 (0.77)
CECO OFV: 22.09 (0.99)
HHH OFV: 39.73 (1.37)
NETL OFV: 33.09 (1.04)
NVEC OFV: 42.40 (1.98)
SKK OFV: 36.70 (1.12)
BHI OFV: 33.90 (1.26)
JEF OFV: 18.42 (0.84)
KBR OFV: 16.69 (0.75)
SHLM OFV: 16.60 (0.63)
ACI OFV: 13.67 (0.69)
IMA OFV: 31.46 (0.88)
ISCA OFV: 24.61 (1.02)
UTEK OFV: 11.98 (0.39)
ALEX OFV: 24.29 (1.26)
CTL OFV: 29.74 (1.07)
EWQ OFV: 19.47 (0.35)
EWW OFV: 34.74 (0.61)
ILF OFV: 32.37 (0.71)
OVTI OFV: 10.29 (0.37)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

I'm often asked what my favorite and most predictive indicators are in analyzing the Current Trend of the stock market. Here are my Favorite Five:
1. DJIA Outlook: Falling 57% vs. 60% previous day (High 86% 6-12)
2. DJIA Trend: Falling 19% vs. 29% previous day (High 84% 6-4)
3. Institutional Demand: Rising 58.81% vs. 53.77% previous day (High 75.87% 6-8)
4. DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising 161 vs. 139 previous day (High: 1957 5-18)
5. DIA ma diff. 8-day vs 21-day: Falling -1.27 vs. -1.19 prior day (High: 4.31)

Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com and receive the complete daily information you need to become a successful Investor/Trader. You can beat the NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers at their own game by using our Pattern Recognition Algorithm Trading Program to make better investment decisions.

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

MktMetrics.com has been serving Institutional Investors and High Net Worth Individuals since April 2005, Douglas Gale its Founder, has 34 years experience as a successful Securites Trader and former technology vendor to Schwab CyberTrader.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Wednesday Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Below is an example of the MktMetrics program using DIA ETF current information. Our pattern recognition algorithm trading program covers the 1,000 most actively traded stocks and ETFs. Get a "14-Day FREE Trial" subscription to www.MktMetrics.com and begin to improved your trading results today!

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 07/08/09
Last Updated: 07/07/09

07/07/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 83.16
(High) 83.19
(Low) 81.54
(Close)81.55
(Range) 1.65

DIA Wednesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 82.36
Today's Predicted High:82.16
Today's Predicted Low: 80.95
Today's Proposed Range: 1.21
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 32 Down from 40
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.90/0.77 Up
Current Trend: Negative -53 Down from -37
Demand Factor: 51 Down from 56
Stock Volatility: 2.53 Up from 1.43

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
07/07/09 12:45 Close: 82.25
Upside Potential: 82.26
Downside Potential: 79.84

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 83.17
2. 83.18
3. 84.82
4. 84.85

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 81.53
2. 81.50
3. 79.92
4. 79.91

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.97
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.16
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.44
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.03
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.62
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.51
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.41
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.18

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Wednesday: 84%
DJIA Trend: Falling 29%
DJIA Momentum: Falling 74%
Dow Outlook: Bullish, Falling 60%
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, Falling 73.0%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday July 8 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Trial" to www.MktMetrics.com- See for yourself before you make a trade, at what price NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Tuesday 7-7-09 DJIA Closed: 8,163.60 -161.27 vs. prior day: 8,324.87 +44.13
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,508.01 -28.55 vs. prior day: 8,536.56 -20.26
DJIA Closed: -4.05% Below its Falling 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -2.48% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Wednesday July 8 Stock Market Forecast

Wednesdays: Rising 51.8% / 50.9% / 51.9% / 52.7% / 54.7%
(Higher Open is greatest for Wednesday)
Historic High: 79.1% (10-13-07) / Low: 47.1% (11-19-08)

DJIA Trend Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling 9 vs. Down 22 (-2 vs -1 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Falling (8-day 83.97) vs. (21-day 85.16) -1.19 vs. Prior -1.32 (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Falling 29% vs Prior 35% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 74% vs. Prior 84% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 1.39 vs. Prior 1.21 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Falling 13 vs. Prior 36 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Falling 9 vs. Prior 21 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Falling 36 vs. Prior 37 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 139 vs. Prior 249 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,536.56 / Intermediate Term 8,671.18 / Breakout 8,805.80
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,508.01 / Intermediate Term 8,359.10 / Breakdown 8,210.20

Wednesday's Trading Highlights:
1. Australian detained on espionage charge in China -
2. Google's new operating system to take on Microsoft -
3. NRG Energy turns down Exelon's revised offer -
4. Judge denies motion to fast-track GM sale appeal -
5. GM Europe still favors Magna for Opel -
6. Obama arrives for his first G8 summit -
7. Adelson says Sands considering Macau IPO -
8. Government Web sites attacked; NKorea suspected -
9. Oil falls near $62 on recovery doubts -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Falling Current -171.60 vs. Previous day -90.12
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Summation Index: Falling Current 2,628.72 vs. Previous day 2,800.32
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Current -.12 vs. Previous day -.10 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Current 19% vs. Previous day 23% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Current 53.77% vs. Previous day 59.35% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Current 44.03% vs. Previous day 50.93% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed near its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Current -.24% vs. Previous day -.18% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish, Falling 60% vs. Previous day 62% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, Falling 73.0% vs Previous day 78.0% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -53% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -42% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -53% vs. Yesterday -39% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -37% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -21% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Unch Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -26% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -45% vs. Yesterday -43% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Unch Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Falling
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling 11 vs. Previous day 88 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Rising 34 vs. Previous day 18 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Falling -148 vs. Previous day -126 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Wednesday Morning Market Observation:

Tuesday's rout brought the DIA one point below its MktMetrics DIA Downside Potential Price of 83.53, which, may prove to be where any rally attempt today could stall this ETF. I bring this to your attention because this is also the DJIA Intermediate Resistance level of the DJIA at 8,359.10(see above). Please know that when key support levels are broken, those same levels become new resistance levels for any snap-back rally. Today is Wednesday and this particular day of the week often lends support to a market that is experiencing a free-fall. I am using this terminology because key support levels of the 50-day and 65-day moving averages were pierced this week. Hedge Fund Operators dump stocks at these key moving averages. Portfolio Managers automatically discard stocks upon the 30-week moving average being penetrated. Most algorithm program traders were distributing stocks along with the Exchange Insiders (Specialists and Market Makers) weeks ago when the 8-day moving average penetrated the 21-day moving average of both the Dow 30 & S&P 500.

Now, once the Advance/Decline Line rolls over, which will be the next event to take place on your Charts, the "free-fall" will pick up steam. This has yet to happen. However, just like a submarine in war time when the captain says to the crew: "Dive, Dive, Dive" the red lights will flash and the Portfolio Managers will hemorrhage their portfolios and sell to the Exchange Insiders at wholesale prices at the DJIA 7,100 - 7,000 level. Unfortunately, some PMs will be relieved of their duties for lack of clairvoyant professionalism. Of course, the argument will be that the earnings projections had merit and over the long term the stock portfolios will return to their previous levels. In the interim, they will join the ranks of many that once enjoyed prosperity, but now they don't. So goes the stock market.

Last Wednesday trader's were able to rally the DJIA up by 57.06. Today's Probability of Being "Up" is 84%. Tuesday's rout caused capital to be swept into money market accounts from all the selling pressure. The big auction of 10-year U.S. Treasuries is in play today, which will be the main focus. Therefore, the mood on the street will be very positive for this event. However, any rally could fall on deaf ears when the dust settles and the decline resumes to lower levels in the days to come.

Good luck and Good trading today!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Tuesday, July 07, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Wednesday July 8 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
Trading Ideas for Wednesday

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 84%

DJIA Trend Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Selected Stocks expected to Close "HIGHER" Wednesday
BUY/Go-Long Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV: (Proposed Range)
BCS OFV: 18.99 (0.48)
HLF OFV: 30.24 (0.92)
JDAS OFV: 15.44 (0.82)
LH OFV: 67.61 (1.15)
MCK OFV: 44.35 (0.88)
MDCO OFV: 8.20 (0.40)
MENT OFV: 6.12 (0.48)
PPD OFV: 43.45 (1.24)
SHLM OFV: 16.37 (0.61)
SNX OFV: 27.28 (1.68)
SRSL OFV: 6.80 (0.39)
TRW OFV: 11.34 (0.58)
TSRA OFV: 24.91 (0.83)
UNTD OFV: 6.36 (0.25)
WAT OFV: 49.68 (0.90)
WLP OFV: 50.77 (1.53)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to Close "LOWER" Wednesday
SELL/Go-Short Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
ACI OFV: 14.05 (0.67)
APOL OFV: 66.27 (3.23)
BEAT OFV: 9.24 (0.80)
BEBE OFV: 6.17 (0.26)
BIO OFV: 72.36 (1.44)
BSX OFV: 9.98 (0.32)
CTX OFV: 7.88 (0.36)
DHI OFV: 8.65 (0.35)
DLTR OFV: 40.91 (0.87)
ELN OFV: 7.46 (0.82)
EWT OFV: 10.36 (0.15)
FDO OFV: 27.88 (0.72)
FSLR OFV: 148.19 (7.99)
GVA OFV: 31.39 (1.15)
HIG OFV: 11.07 (0.53)
JRCC OFV: 14.17 (0.83)
KBH OFV: 11.96 (0.77)
MCRS OFV: 23.94 (0.82)
MYGN OFV: 25.09 (1.69)
PHM OFV: 8.18 (0.35)
RDK OFV: 22.18 (0.58)
RYL OFV: 15.84 (0.70)
SJT OFV: 13.46 (0.50)
SPWRA OFV: 24.33 (0.85)
STV OFV: 7.92 (0.41)
SUG OFV: 17.33 (0.59)
SUN OFV: 22.04 (0.65)
TNH OFV: 100.18 (4.26)
TNP OFV: 15.23 (0.68)
TOL OFV: 16.04 (0.57)
TWTC OFV: 9.32 (0.23)
USG OFV: 9.40 (0.49)
V OFV: 60.38 (1.70)
VFC OFV: 54.23 (1.36)
WMT OFV: 47.89 (0.58)
XLY OFV: 22.12 (0.45)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

*Of 1,000 stocks & ETFs tracked, Unusual Volume are showing in these TOP SEVENTEEN issues from Tuesday's trading results, in decending order:

Symbol Rating *OFV: (Proposed Range)
SUG OFV: 17.33 (0.59)
OSK OFV: 21.76 (1.07)
DFS OFV: 9.42 (0.64)
EWI OFV: 15.61 (0.26)
TRMB OFV: 18.59 (0.51)
CTL OFV: 30.88 (0.86)
EWP OFV: 39.05 (0.62)
SPPI OFV: 5.52 (0.68)
KMT OFV: 18.30 (0.69)
CLR OFV: 23.22 (1.28)
ICE OFV: 103.74 (4.05)
MIL OFV: 68.79 (1.20)
SLE OFV: 9.95 (0.27)
GNTX OFV: 10.43 (0.40)
HUM OFV: 31.73 (1.11)
UNTD OFV: 6.36 (0.25)
WLP OFV: 50.77 (1.53)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

I'm often asked what my favorite and most predictive indicators are in analyzing the Current Trend of the stock market. Here are my Favorite Five:
1. DJIA Outlook: Falling 62% vs. 63% previous day (High 86% 6-12)
2. DJIA Trend: Falling 29% vs. 35% previous day (High 84% 6-4)
3. Institutional Demand: Rising 53.77% vs. 59.35% previous day (High 75.87% 6-8)
4. DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 139 vs. 249 previous day (High: 1957 5-18)
5. DIA ma diff. 8-day vs 21-day: Rising -1.19 vs. -1.32 prior day (High: 4.31)

Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com and receive the complete daily information you need to become a successful Investor/Trader. You can beat the NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers at their own game by using our Pattern Recognition Algorithm Trading Programto make better investment decisions.

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

MktMetrics.com has been serving Institutional Investors and High Net Worth Individuals since April 2005, Douglas Gale its Founder, has 34 years experience as a successful Securites Trader and former technology vendor to Schwab CyberTrader.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Tuesday Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Below is an example of the MktMetrics program using DIA ETF current information. Our pattern recognition algorithm trading program covers the 1,000 most actively traded stocks and ETFs. Get a "14-Day FREE Trial" subscription to www.MktMetrics.com and begin to improved your trading results today!

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 07/07/09
Last Updated: 07/06/09

07/06/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 82.26
(High) 83.31
(Low) 82.08
(Close)83.25
(Range) 1.23

DIA Tuesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 82.71
Today's Predicted High:83.82
Today's Predicted Low: 82.69
Today's Proposed Range: 1.13
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 40 Down from 42
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.70/0.70 Unch
Current Trend: Negative -37 Down from -36
Demand Factor: 56 Up from 52
Stock Volatility: 1.43 Up from 0.57

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
07/06/09 12:45 Close: 82.60
Upside Potential: 84.79
Downside Potential: 82.53

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 83.72
2. 83.91
3. 84.92
4. 84.98

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 81.64
2. 81.59
3. 80.61
4. 80.44

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.15
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.47
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.48
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.12
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.60
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.48
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.45
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.32

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Tuesday: 29%
DJIA Trend: Falling 35%
DJIA Momentum: Rising 84%
Dow Outlook: Bullish, Falling 62%
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 78.0%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday July 7 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Trial" to www.MktMetrics.com- See for yourself before you make a trade, at what price NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 7-6-09 DJIA Closed: 8,324.87 +44.13 vs. prior day: 8,280.74 -223.32
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,536.56 -20.26 vs. prior day: 8,556.82 -18.78
DJIA Closed: -2.48% Below its Falling 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -3.23% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Tuesday July 7 Stock Market Forecast

Tuesdays: Falling 48.1% / 49.0% / 50.0% / 49.0% / 49.0%
Historic High: 63.8% (8-27-07) / Low: 46.2% (5-5-09)

DJIA Trend Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling 11 vs. Down 20 (-1 vs +0 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Falling (8-day 84.15) vs. (21-day 85.47) -1.32 vs. Prior -1.53 (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Falling 35% vs Prior 39% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 84% vs. Prior 81% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 1.21 vs. Prior 0.85 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Falling 36 vs. Prior 47 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Falling 21 vs. Prior 26 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Rising 37 vs. Prior 30 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 249 vs. Prior 324 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,556.82 / Intermediate Term 8,696.06 / Breakout 8,835.30
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,536.56 / Intermediate Term 8,407.06 / Breakdown 8,237.80

Tuesday's Trading Highlights:
1. Stock futures point to quiet Wall Street opening -
1a.European stocks edge up despite Nikkei's 5th fall -
2. Lear files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection -
3. Limits on energy futures to be aired -
4. Government tightening food safety standards -
5. Hospitals, Democrats near deal on health care -
6. India business leaders praise budget, market gains -
7. Ikea furniture retailer to cut more jobs -
8. Oil creeps up over $64 after past week's plunge -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Falling Current -90.12 vs. Previous day -59.32
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Summation Index: Falling Current 2,800.32 vs. Previous day 2,890.44
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Current -.10 vs. Previous day -.11 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Current 23% vs. Previous day 29% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Current 59.35% vs. Previous day 54.71% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Current 50.93% vs. Previous day 50.65% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Unch Current -.18% vs. Previous day -.18% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed above its Mean, positive yet flat.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling 62% vs. Previous day 63% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 78.0% vs Previous day 77.8% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -37% vs. Yesterday -36% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -32% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -39% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -28% vs. Yesterday -21% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -43% vs. Yesterday -36% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -20% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Neutral
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising 88 vs. Previous day 35 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Falling 18 vs. Previous day 29 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Falling -126 vs. Previous day -96 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Tuesday Morning Market Observation:

Monday's market trading produced a snap-back rally as predicted. Tuesday morning should see some follow through. However, by all intents and purposes, the DJIA and other major indices remain in a declining mode. The 12-Key Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) listed daily above, continue to trend lower unabated. So I can only expect a Tuesday morning rise to halfway from the breakdown level of the DJIA and its mean that should produce stiff resistance at the DJIA 8387 - 8397 level.

The "DIA Probability of Being Up Today" is 29%. The DJIA Outlook and the DJIA Trend have changed to "Down" from "Up," and the DJIA and DIA 21-day moving averages are trending down as well. Commodity prices are no longer increasing, which is have a positive and negative effect for the economy, and the stock market, also. There is no significant news to report today, which could become a harbinger for lower prices at the Close of the session. Let's see what happens.

Good luck and Good trading today!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Monday, July 06, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Tuesday July 7 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
Trading Ideas for Tuesday

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 29%

DJIA Trend Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 7-6-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Selected Stocks expected to Close "HIGHER" Tuesday
BUY/Go-Long Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV: (Proposed Range)
AM OFV: 11.94 (0.88)
CYT OFV: 18.25 (0.90)
EWI OFV: 15.71 (0.24)
EXBD OFV: 20.05 (1.01)
FAF OFV: 26.02 (0.91)
JKHY OFV: 20.26 (0.52)
LH OFV: 66.77 (1.20)
MDCO OFV: 8.26 (0.44)
MXWL OFV: 13.45 (0.77)
NLY OFV: 15.28 (0.29)
NOVN OFV: 14.50 (0.50)
RHT OFV: 19.83 (0.79)
SRSL OFV: 6.65 (0.37)
VIVO OFV: 22.86 (0.79)
VRTX OFV: 33.99 (1.16)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to close "LOWER" Tuesday
SELL/Go-Short Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
APOL OFV: 66.82 (2.92)
BEBE OFV: 6.37 (0.27)
BSX OFV: 9.83 (0.42)
CTX OFV: 8.06 (0.39)
DHI OFV: 8.91 (0.36)
DRYS OFV: 5.09 (0.38)
ELN OFV: 7.62 (0.65)
FDO OFV: 28.09 (0.67)
GVA OFV: 32.09 (1.03)
HIG OFV: 11.16 (0.62)
JRCC OFV: 14.02 (0.85)
KBH OFV: 12.37 (1.11)
PHM OFV: 8.39 (0.37)
SRS OFV: 20.82 (0.91)
STV OFV: 8.05 (0.29)
TWTC OFV: 9.66 (0.48)
USG OFV: 9.88 (0.51)
WMT OFV: 47.83 (0.63)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

*Of 1,000 stocks & ETFs tracked, Unusual Volume are showing in these TOP TEN issues from Monday's trading results, in decending order:

Symbol Rating *OFV: (Proposed Range)
EWI OFV: 15.71 (0.24)
SPPI OFV: 5.62 (0.68)
OSK OFV: 20.63 (0.91)
EWM OFV: 8.81 (0.10)
BMS OFV: 24.81 (0.55)
CLR OFV: 23.65 (1.31)
BOOM OFV: 15.62 (0.79)
ILMN OFV: 32.82 (1.16)
SIGM OFV: 14.70 (0.58)
ELX OFV: 9.65 (0.45)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

I'm often asked what my favorite and most predictive indicators are in analyzing the Current Trend of the stock market. Here are my Favorite Five:
1. DJIA Outlook: Falling 62% vs. 63% previous day (High 86% 6-12)
2. DJIA Trend: Falling 35% vs. 39% previous day (High 84% 6-4)
3. Institutional Demand: Rising 59.35% vs. 54.71% previous day (High 75.87% 6-8)
4. DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 249 vs. 324 previous day (High: 1957 5-18)
5. DIA ma diff. 8-day vs 21-day: Rising -1.32 vs. -1.53 prior day (High: 4.31)

Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com and receive the complete daily information you need to become a successful Investor/Trader. You can beat the NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers at their own game by using our Pattern Recognition Algorithm Trading Program to make better investment decisions.

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

MktMetrics.com has been serving Institutional Investors and High Net Worth Individuals since April 2005, Douglas Gale its Founder, has 34 years experience as a successful Securites Trader and former technology vendor to Schwab CyberTrader.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Monday Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Below is an example of the MktMetrics program using DIA ETF current information. Our pattern recognition algorithm trading program covers the 1,000 most actively traded stocks and ETFs. Get a "14-Day FREE Trial" subscription to www.MktMetrics.com and begin to improved your trading results today!

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 07/06/09
Last Updated: 07/02/09

07/02/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 84.00
(High) 84.04
(Low) 82.95
(Close)82.99
(Range) 1.09

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 83.50
Today's Predicted High:83.67
Today's Predicted Low: 82.32
Today's Proposed Range:1.35
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell (down from sell)

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 42 Down from 51
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.10/0.72 Up
Current Trend: Negative -36 Down from -23
Demand Factor: 52 Down from 59
Stock Volatility: 0.57 Up from -0.44

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
07/02/09 12:45 Close: 83.31
Upside Potential: 84.07
Downside Potential: 81.37

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 84.61
2. 84.65
3. 85.68
4. 85.72

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 82.36
2. 82.32
3. 81.33
4. 81.29

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.14
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.67
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.48
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.14
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.53
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.39
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.48
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.44

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Monday: 100%
DJIA Trend: Unch 39%
DJIA Momentum: Falling 81%
Dow Outlook: Bullish Rising 63%
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, Falling 77.8%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Monday July 6 2009

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Thursday 7-2-09 DJIA Closed: 8,280.74 -223.32 vs. prior day: 8,504.06 +57.06
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,556.82 -18.78 vs. prior day: 8,575.60 -11.28
DJIA Closed: -3.23% Below its Falling 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -.83% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Monday July 6 Stock Market Forecast

Mondays: Rising 26.0% / 24.4% / 25% / 26% / 25%
(Lower Close from Open is greatest for Monday)
Historic High: 63.8% (8-27-07) / Low: 24.4% (6-22-09)

DJIA Trend Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-25-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-29-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Unch 12 vs. Down 19 (+0 vs +0 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Falling (8-day 84.14) vs. (21-day 85.67) -1.53 vs. Prior -1.68 (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Unch#3 39% vs Prior 39% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 81% vs. Prior 94% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 0.85 vs. Prior 0.29 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Falling 47 vs. Prior 73 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Falling 26 vs. Prior 38 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Falling 30 vs. Prior 38 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 324 vs. Prior 617 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,575.60 / Intermediate Term 8,715.95 / Breakout 8,856.30
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,556.82 / Intermediate Term 8,407.06 / Breakdown 8,257.30

Monday's Trading Highlights:
1. Investors' focus shifts to 2Q earnings reports -
2. Bankruptcy judge OKs GM sale plan -
3. Chrysler names remaining directors to new board -
4. As retailers cut back cities confront 'ghostboxes' -
5. Chrysler names remaining directors to new board -
6. Geeks double as scourges and sages at media summit -
7. Bankruptcies low in states that don't seize wages -
8. Biden predicts more US jobs because of stimulus -
9. China won't press for new global currency at G8 -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Falling Current -59.32 vs. Previous day 50.97
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Summation Index: Falling Current 2,890.44 vs. Previous day 2,949.76
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Current -.11 vs. Previous day -.08 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch Current 29% vs. Previous day 29% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, negative yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Falling Current 54.71% vs. Previous day 60.35% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Current 50.65% vs. Previous day 57.77% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Current -.18% vs. Previous day -.10% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 63% vs. Previous day 62% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, Falling 77.8% vs Previous day 84.1% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -36% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -26% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -25% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -21% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -36% vs. Yesterday -33% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Unch Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Falling
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling 35 vs. Previous day 89 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Rising 29 vs. Previous day 25 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Falling -96 vs. Previous day 37 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Monday Morning Market Observation:

A lot of fireworks went off this fourth of July. Perhaps the celebration will put investors in a better mood as the summer heats up for the stock market. Speaking of which, the market needs such enthusiasm with many traders and portfolio managers adrift at the beaches. The large amount of money on the sidelines and even less in the stock market could create greater volatility as futures and options expire this cycle on July 17th. Our stock volatility reading is indicating that will happen.

The Advance/Decline Line remains venerable, yet has not broken down. The last look at the DJIA Trend and DJIA Outlook has not broken down either. Last Monday, the DJIA surprised with a 91 point gain on the day. Can last Monday be indicative of what can happen today? Let's take a look for anything positive we can hang our hat on.

There is no significant news until Wednesday, which is the EIA Petroleum Status Report. Today, MktMetrics has the DIA Probability of Being "Up" at 100%. The last trading session, Thursday, the DJI made a new low which the NYSE A/D Line did not confirm, which is positive. Also, the DJI made a minor new low in recent trading action which was not confirmed by the NYSE Cumulative Up/Down Volume. That tells us the trend may have some steam left. Lastly, the DJIA is at the bottom of its trading range. So we cannot rule out some sort of snap back rally to even out the decline.

Traders should always let the Monday morning play out until the West Coast money managers have a chance to place their money bets on how the mood of the market is to play out with such little news to react to today and tomorrow. Play it safe as only fools rush in, a.k.a. gambling vs. speculation with calculated risk management.

Good luck and Good trading today!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Sunday, July 05, 2009

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell & Five Day Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Probability Percent of being "Up" Monday 7-6-09
DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 100% vs. 55% last week

This Week vs. Last Week Trend & Outlook Statistics
DIA Trend: Rising this Week 39% vs. 32% last week
DIA Momentum: Falling this Week 81% vs. 87% last week
DIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 63% vs. 59% last week
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, yet Falling 77.8% vs. 81.9% last week

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
This Week's Five Day Forecast (7-6 through 7-10)

Mondays: Rising 26.0% / 24.4% / 25% / 26% / 25%
(Lower Close from Open is greatest for Monday)
Historic High: 63.8% (8-27-07) / Low: 24.4% (6-22-09)

Tuesdays: Falling 48.1% / 49.0% / 50.0% / 49.0% / 49.0%
Historic High: 63.8% (8-27-07) / Low: 46.2% (5-5-09)

Wednesdays: Rising 51.8% / 50.9% / 51.9% / 52.7% / 54.7%
(Higher Open is greatest for Wednesday)
Historic High: 79.1% (10-13-07) / Low: 47.1% (11-19-08)

Thursdays: Falling 52.9% / 54.9% / 53.0% / 55.7% / 54.0%
(Lower Open, yet Higher Close from Open is greatest for Thursday)
Historic High: 66.7% (11-13-08) / Low 52.8% (3-12-09)

Fridays: Unch 52.9% / 52.9% / 54.0% / 51.8% / 50.0%
Historic High: 60.7 (1-7-07) / Low 35.9% (10-31-08)

50 Weeks: Unch 46.5% / 46.5% / 47.0% / 47.4% / 46.9%
Historic High: 61.3 (7-13-07) / Low 45.0 (3-6-09)

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Signal & Trend
Sym/Sig/Demand/Range/*IRS/Trend/Volatility
AA S/SELL- 78- 0.42 47D -0.03+ 0.03U
AXP S/SELL 75- 1.26 39D -0.19+ -0.93U
BA SELL 75- 1.24 28D -0.48+ 1.09U
BAC BUY 14- 0.51 63D 0.10+ 0.27D
CAT S/SELL 55- 1.28 31D -0.38+ 0.59U
CSCO S/SELL 41- 0.42 37D -0.13+ 0.00D
CVX S/SELL 24- 1.30 27D -0.33+ 1.48U
DD S/SELL 70- 0.77 43D -0.33+ 0.68U
DIA S/SELL- 52- 1.35 42D -0.36+ 0.57U
DIS S/SELL 62- 0.63 42D -0.26+ 1.38U
GE S/SELL 21- 0.30 36D -0.22+ 0.36U
HD S/SELL- 49- 0.78 41D -0.23+ 1.32U
HPQ BUY- 82- 1.11 78D 0.20+ 0.27D
IBM S/SELL 61- 1.92 28D -0.57+ 2.70U
INTC SELL- 74- 0.38 77D -0.02+ 0.05D
JNJ S/BUY 69- 1.08 80D 0.01+ 0.18D
JPM S/SELL- 48- 1.09 47D -0.15+ 2.32U
KFT BUY 13- 0.53 53D -0.27+ 0.50D
KO SELL 53- 0.63 64U -0.20+ 0.72D
MCD S/SELL 22- 0.98 45D -0.33+ -0.22D
MMM BUY 96+ 1.34 87D 0.12/ 0.50D
MRK SELL 80- 1.08 83D -0.13+ 0.87U
MSFT BUY 52- 0.52 79D 0.01+ 1.45U
PFE SELL 45- 0.52 62D -0.18+ 0.04U
PG BUY+ 74- 1.23 65D -0.21+ 0.81D
T BUY 27- 0.42 52D 0.03/ 0.72U
TRV S/SELL 73- 0.83 40D -0.20+ 2.72U
UTX SELL 58- 1.21 40D -0.36+ 3.16U
VZ BUY 72- 0.54 65D 0.01+ 0.03D
WMT S/SELL 0/ 0.75 6D -0.31+ 0.42U
XOM S/SELL 81- 1.50 43D -0.17+ 2.16U
*IRS: Price Internal Relative Strength

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Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Stocks In Review Weekly Edition

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This Week's Best & Worst Opportunities

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
TRADING IDEAS for Monday 7-6-09

Selected BEST Positive Stocks (BUY/Go-Long Ideas)
Steady Accumulation confirmed by Up Trend

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
ADTN OFV: 22.94 (0.80)
AM OFV: 12.14 (1.08)
ASML OFV: 21.95 (0.53)
AVX OFV: 9.95 (0.28)
CHL OFV: 48.51 (0.85)
CYMI OFV: 29.64 (1.00)
CYT OFV: 18.56 (0.67)
DIOD OFV: 16.23 (0.70)
EWJ OFV: 9.32 (0.15)
GLBL OFV: 5.43 (0.36)
JDAS OFV: 15.51 (0.65)
K OFV: 46.86 (0.83)
KMT OFV: 19.13 (0.75)
LH OFV: 66.70 (1.52)
LQD OFV: 99.68 (0.65)
MENT OFV: 6.12 (0.21)
MXWL OFV: 13.60 (0.90)
NOVN OFV: 14.52 (0.74)
OMG OFV: 29.06 (1.22)
OSK OFV: 19.07 (0.87)
RBN OFV: 19.39 (1.06)
RHT OFV: 20.29 (1.06)
ROP OFV: 45.14 (1.28)
SAFM OFV: 46.97 (1.15)
SNX OFV: 28.05 (0.90)
SPH OFV: 41.87 (1.17)
SRSL OFV: 6.54 (0.50)
TKLC OFV: 16.75 (0.36)
TSRA OFV: 25.18 (1.07)
VIVO OFV: 22.13 (1.08)
XLNX OFV: 20.21 (0.46)
ZBRA OFV: 23.70 (0.63)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected WORST Negative Stocks (SELL/Go-Short Ideas)
Steady Distribution confirmed by Down Trend

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
ACI OFV: 14.92 (0.64)
APOL OFV: 68.77 (3.40)
BEBE OFV: 6.65 (0.27)
BIO OFV: 74.38 (3.51)
COP OFV: 41.24 (0.79)
CTX OFV: 8.35 (0.42)
DHI OFV: 9.19 (0.40)
DRYS OFV: 5.47 (0.38)
ELN OFV: 8.06 (0.46)
EWO OFV: 16.15 (0.32)
EWT OFV: 10.27 (0.17)
EXM OFV: 6.43 (0.52)
FCL OFV: 25.93 (1.86)
FDO OFV: 28.01 (0.65)
FSLR OFV: 154.28 (8.38)
GVA OFV: 32.78 (0.95)
HIG OFV: 11.44 (0.72)
JRCC OFV: 14.45 (0.90)
KBH OFV: 13.01 (1.22)
MYGN OFV: 26.27 (2.26)
MYL OFV: 12.59 (0.45)
PHM OFV: 8.71 (0.43)
STV OFV: 8.69 (0.29)
SVU OFV: 12.88 (0.57)
TWTC OFV: 10.06 (0.60)
V OFV: 60.78 (1.89)
VFC OFV: 54.62 (1.24)
WMT OFV: 48.07 (0.75)
XLY OFV: 22.73 (0.57)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

In the 1960's, Analyst Joseph Granville of E.F. Hutton & Co., originated "on balance volume" and developed a theory that "volume preceeds price" as a characteristic of stock price movement, up or down. Of the 1,000 stocks & ETFs Gale Financial Market Econometrics tracks for its subscribers, Unusual Volume was noticed in the following TOP EIGHTTEEN issues from last Thursday's trading results:

Symbol Rating *OFV (Proposed Range)
ELN OFV: 8.06 (0.46)
ILMN OFV: 33.34 (1.59)
MENT OFV: 6.12 (0.21)
OSK OFV: 19.07 (0.87)
SEPR OFV: 14.85 (0.61)
QSFT OFV: 14.21 (0.24)
MSM OFV: 37.34 (1.01)
ELX OFV: 9.54 (0.28)
ADTN OFV: 22.94 (0.80)
BEAT OFV: 9.33 (0.88)
BBH OFV: 91.58 (2.25)
LIFE OFV: 40.20 (1.11)
EWP OFV: 39.72 (0.84)
IYZ OFV: 17.52 (0.32)
XLNX OFV: 20.21 (0.46)
MYGN OFV: 26.27 (2.26)
SHLM OFV: 15.37 (0.59)
SNX OFV: 28.05 (0.90)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com for daily, much more detailed, Stock and Exchange Traded Funds analysis from our Pattern Recognition Algorithm Trading Program, all on one page!

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Good Luck and Good Trading Monday!

Douglas Gale, President & Founder
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
www.MktMetrics.com
www.GaleFinancialMarketEconometrics.blogspot.com

Saturday, July 04, 2009

Stock Market Analysis Weekly ETF Edition

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending July 2, 2009 (Current Statistics plus Historic: Highs /Lows)

U.S. Economic Health Formula
Definition: (>1.00 is Bearish) (<1.00 is Bullish)

Sym Rating PrIS Trend Demand = Result
UUP SELL 36 17 100 153
USO SELL 58 -3 91 146 = 1.05

SPY SELL 58 -26 73 105
GLD SELL 33 -12 47 68 = 1.54

RTH SELL 31 -43 31 19
DBC SELL 46 11 100 157 = 0.12

Conclusion 7-2-09
(1.05+1.54+.12)/3 = 0.90 (Bullish Economy)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, yet Falling 77.8% vs Last week: 81.9% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean: 50.9%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 63% vs Last week: 59% (Historic: High 89% / Low 2% 3-6-09) Mean: 45.5%

DJIA Trading Range: High 14,164.53(10-11-07) / Low 6,443.27(3-6-09) (Range: 7,721.26) (Mean: 10,303.90)

DJIA Closed: 8280.74 -157.65 vs. Last week: 8438.39 -101.34
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 8,556.82 -40.10 vs. Last week: 8,596.92 +4.35
DJIA Trend: Rising 39% vs. Last week: 32% (High 100% 3-31-09 / Low: 0% 6-27-08 9-13-08)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 81% vs. Last week: 87% (High 97% / Low 0% 10-24,11-12,11-21-08& 2-25,3-6-09)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 0.85% vs. Last week: 0.21% (High 9.80% 10-10-08 / Low -2.37% 11-28-08)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising +324 vs. Last week +307 (High 1,957 5-11-09 / Low -3,881 11-20-08)
DJIA Resistance: Falling 8,706.56 -42.47 vs. Last week 8,749.03 +6.10 (High: +236 4-3-09 Low: -543 10-24-08
DJIA Breakout: Falling 8,856.30 vs. Last week 8,899.50
DJIA Support: Falling 8,416.45 -30.81 vs. Last week: 8,447.26 +7.88 (High: +224 4-10-09 Low: -525 10-24-08)
DJIA Breakdown: Falling 8,257.30 vs. Last week: 8,297.60
DJIA Regression Channel Statistics: Rising Current -.354 vs. Last week: -.366 (High +.463 / Low -.478 4-9-09)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Falling 7 vs. Last week: 137 (High +704 4-3-09 / Low -965 10-10-08)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Falling -126 vs. Last week: -85 (High +349 / Low -646 10-27-08)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Falling -3.23% vs. Last week: -1.86% (High 10.56% 3-26-09 / Low -19.26% 10-10-08)
DJIA Stochastic 5-Day Indicator: Rising 47 vs. Last week: 43 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 26 vs. Last week: 25 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Falling 30 vs. Last week: 32 (High 97 / Low 11)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Falling -96 vs. Last week: -53 (High 255 / Low -285)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Falling 0.4 vs. Last week: 1.4 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)

"Let's take a deeper look into what the Smart Money is currently doing with their Inventory."

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Falling -59.32 vs Last week: -8.19 (High 365 / Low -416)

Summation Index: Falling 2,890.44 vs Last week: 2,894.30 (High 4,822 5-12-09 / Low -4,699)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling -.11% vs Last week: -.01% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.31% (6-27-08)

Institutional Money Flow Index: Falling 29% vs Last week: 39% (High 97% 9-19,10-1-07, 4-3-09 / Low 0% 6-25,10-9,17,24,11-13-08; 2-26-09)

Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 54.71% vs Last week: 59.64% (High 86.8% / Low 8.16% 10-9-08)

Institutional Inventory Index: Falling 50.65% vs Last week: 52.96% (High 81.1% / Low 6.42% 10-9-08)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling -0.18 vs Last week: +.01 (High +.45 4-3-09 / Low -.77 10-10-08)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Falling 98 vs Last week: 101 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)

Speculation Index: Falling -.428 vs Last week: .097 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.601 10-22-08)

One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Falling 2.24% vs Last week: 2.28% (5.27% / Low 2.71% 4-9-09) CD Rate information provided by BankRate CD Alert

*************************************************************************************
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125 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis

Symbol: Trend +/- vs Last Week (Historic: High / Low) Rating Demand Factor

Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.36 vs Last week: -.03 (High .95 / Low -1.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 52-
S&P 500 Large-Cap
SPY: -.26 vs Last week: +.11 (High .78 / Low -1.88) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 73-
S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.25 vs Last week: +.13 (High 1.15 / Low -2.35) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 87-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.21 vs Last week: +.06 (High .72 / Low -1.14) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 80+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.07 vs Last week: +.19 (High .54 / Low -.85) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 85-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.22 vs Last week: +.35 (High 1.58 / Low -4.28)Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 17-
2. Broadband
BDH: +.01 vs Last week: +.57 (High .57 / Low -.63) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 6-
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.16 vs Last week: +.06 (High .41 / Low -.38) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 86-
4. Chicago Mercantile Exchange
CME: -.129 vs Last week: -.02 (High 4.84 / Low -7.92)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 84-
5. PowerShares DB Agriculture
DBA: +.07 vs Last week: +.12 (High .65 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 95/
6. Deutsche Bank Commodity
DBC: +.11 vs Last week: +.24 (High .68 / Low -.99) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100/
7. Ultra Dow 30 Power Shares
DDM: -.31 vs Last week: +.01 (High 1.00 / Low -1.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 57-
8. Ultra Oil & Gas ProShares
DIG: -.33 vs Last week: -.06 (High .81 / Low -2.10) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64-
9. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares
DUG: +.29 vs Last week: +.05 (High 1.64/ Low -1.45) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 61+
10. Dow Jones Select Dividend
DVY: -.17 vs Last week: +.01 (High .69 / Low -.79) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65+
11. Ultra Short Dow 30 Power Shares
DXD: +.31 vs Last week: -.08 (High 1.68 / Low -1.64)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25+
12. BRIC (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: -.02 vs Last week: +.09 (High .86 / Low -.84) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 67-
13. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.05 vs Last week: +.05 (High 1.29 / Low -1.83) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 78-
14. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: -.17 vs Last week: +.06 (High .62 / Low -.97) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 83-
15. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: -.08 vs Last week: +.18 (High 1.36 / Low -1.25) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 84-
16. Australia
EWA: -.05 vs Last week: +.14 (High .81 / Low -.51) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 73-
17. Canada
EWC: -.15 vs Last week: -.10 (High .52 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 53-
18. Sweden
EWD: +.10 vs Last week: +.14 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
19. Germany
EWG: -.33 vs Last week: -.05 (High .61 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 53-
20. Hong Kong
EWH: -.00 vs Last week: +.10 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
21. Italy
EWI: -.20 vs Last week: -.03 (High .51 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 82-
22. Japan
EWJ: +.03 vs Last week: +.09 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
23. Belgium
EWK: -.00 vs Last week: +.04 (High .60 / Low -.83) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 75-
24. Switzerland
EWL: -.11 vs Last week: +.18 (High .64 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 84-
25. Malaysia
EWM: +.11 vs Last week: -.03 (High .39 / Low -.22) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+
26. Netherlands
EWN: -.13 vs Last week: +.03 (High .64 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 74-
27. Austria
EWO: -.46 vs Last week: -.34 (High .54 / Low -.97) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
28. Spain
EWP: +.08 vs Last week: +.20 (High .75 / Low -.89) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
29. France
EWQ: -.08 vs Last week: +.05 (High .56 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 88+
30. Singapore
EWS: -.05 vs Last week: +.07 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 30-
31. Taiwan
EWT: -.31 vs Last week: -.20 (High .40 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
32. United Kingdom
EWU: +.09 vs Last week: +.15 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 98+
33. Mexico
EWW: -.02 vs Last week: +.03 (High .72 / Low -1.22) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 81-
34. South Korea
EWY: -.13 vs Last week: -.04 (High .69 / Low -1.09) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64-
35. Brazil
EWZ: -.17 vs Last week: -.10 (High 1.00 / Low -1.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61-
36. South Africa
EZA: -.01 vs Last week: +.06 (High 1.72 / Low -1.59) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 92-
37. FTSE/Xinhua China 25
FXI: -.00 vs Last week: +.19 (High 2.91 / Low -2.27) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 86-
38. ProShares US FTSE/XI
FXP: -.03 vs Last week: -.20 (High 3.04 / Low -4.34) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15+
39. SPDR Gold Trust
GLD: -.12 vs Last week: -.12 (High .80 / Low -.98) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47-
40. Internet
HHH: -.24 vs Last week: +.32 (High .64 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 80-
41. High Yield Corporate Bonds
HYG: +.08 vs Last week: +.22 (High .80 / Low -.97) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
42. Internet Architecture
IAH: +.15 vs Last week: +.21 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 33-
43. Broker-Dealers
IAI: -.04 vs Last week: +.15 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 72-
44. Insurance
IAK: +.01 vs Last week: -.08 (High .62 / Low -.97) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 82+
45. Comex Gold
IAU: -.18 vs Last week: -.17 (High .84 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61-
46. Biotechnology
IBB: -.00 vs Last week: +.37 (High .70 / Low -.84) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 48-
47. InterContinental Exchange
ICE: -.17 vs Last week: +.51 (High 1.82 /Low -2.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 83-
48. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: -.33 vs Last week: -.08 (High .98 / Low -1.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 80-
49. Utilities
IDU: +.15 vs Last week: +.21 (High .78 / Low -1.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 44/
50. S&P Europe 350
IEV: -.17 vs Last week: +.01 (High .84 / Low -2.42) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 69-
51. Natural Resources
IGE: -.22 vs Last week: -.02 (High 1.35 / Low -4.09) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 69-
52. Networking
IGN: +.03 vs Last week: +.37 (High .67 / Low -.71) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-
53. Software
IGV: +.02 vs Last week: +.35 (High .66 / Low -.79) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
54. Semiconductor
IGW: +.12 vs Last week: +.16 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
55. India Investment Fund
IIF: -.09 vs Last week: +.11 (High .88 / Low -1.11) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 76-
56. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.18 vs Last week: +.16 (High .78 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 82-
57. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.18 vs Last week: +.26 (High .76 / Low -1.44) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 82-
58. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.14 vs Last week: +.14 (High .83 / Low -1.05) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 82+
59. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: -.08 vs Last week: -.05 (High 2.68 / Low -9.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 69-
60. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.31 vs Last week: -.17 (High .81 / Low -1.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 33-
61. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.50 vs Last week: -.15 (High .64 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 57-
62. S&P TOPIX 150
ITF: -.05 vs Last week: -.02 (High .92 / Low -2.00) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 95+
63. Russell 2000 Growth
IWO: -.19 vs Last week: +.29 (High .83 / Low -1.05) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66-
64. Global Financial
IXG: -.24 vs Last week: -.18 (High .79 / Low -1.06) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 24-
65. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.28 vs Last week: +.18 (High .78 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 67-
66. Energy
IYE: -.34 vs Last week: -.04 (High 1.29 / Low -1.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 46-
67. Financial Services
IYG: -.19 vs Last week: -.04 (High .85 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 50-
68. Healthcare
IYH: -.09 vs Last week: +.14 (High .54 / Low -.91) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 55+
69. Industrial
IYJ: -.30 vs Last week: -.06 (High .60 / Low -.97) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 63-
70. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.21 vs Last week: +.03 (High .58 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 83-
71. Basic Materials
IYM: -.17 vs Last week: +.04 (High .84 / Low -1.30) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 89-
72. Real Estate
IYR: -.19 vs Last week: +.02 (High .64 / Low -1.26) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 94-
73. Transportation
IYT: -.13 vs Last week: +.25 (High .87 / Low -1.32) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 78-
74. Technology
IYW: -.08 vs Last week: +.18 (High .54 / Low -.92) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 78-
75. Total Market Index
IYY: -.23 vs Last week: +.07 (High .84 / Low -.98) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 82-
76. Telecommunications
IYZ: -.15 vs Last week: -.00 (High .43 / Low -.71 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65-
77. Investment Grade Corporate Bonds
LQD: +.17 vs Last week: +.26 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
78. Market Vectors Global Agribusiness
MOO: -.27 vs Last week: -.30 (High .64 / Low -1.29) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18+
79. Ultra Short Mid-Cap 400 Power Shares
MZZ: +.11 vs Last week: -.22 (High 2.77 / Low -1.96) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 33+
80. NYSE Euronext Group
NYX: -.15 vs Last week: +.05 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 87-
81. NASDAQ Stock Market
NDAQ: -.07 vs Last week: +.02 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66-
82. S&P 100 Index
OEF: -.10 vs Last week: +.16 (High .64 / Low -1.29) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 55-
83. Oil Services
OIH: -.78 vs Last week: -.25 (High 2.43 /Low -3.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 41-
84. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: +.11 vs Last week: +.24 (High .72 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 83-
85. PowerShares Water Resources
PHO: -.04 vs Last week: +.14 (High .86 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 23+
86. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.00 vs Last week: +.07 (High .80 / Low -1.04) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 24+
87. PowerShares Dynamic Software
PSJ: +.06 vs Last week: +.16 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 43+
88. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.17 vs Last week: -.03 (High .57 / Low -.77) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 78-
89. Ultra Short QQQ Power Shares
QID: +.04 vs Last week: -.32 (High 1.86 / Low -1.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 12+
90. Ultra QQQ ProShares
QLD: -.10 vs Last week: +.33 (High 1.14 / Low -1.92) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 89-
91. Regional Banks
RKH: -.14 vs Last week: -.11 (High 1.37 / Low -1.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65-
92. Eastern Europe
RNE: -.07 vs Last week: -.18 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34+
93. Retail
RTH: -.43 vs Last week: +.09 (High .91 / Low -1.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 31-
94. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: -.21 vs Last week: -.01 (High .78 / Low -1.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 88-
95. UltraShort S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: +.22 vs Last week: -.20 (High 2.23 / Low: -2.14)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18+
96. Ultra Short Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: +.25 vs Last week: -.27 (High 3.32 / Low -3.18)Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 64+
97. Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bonds
SHY: +.04 vs Last week: -.12 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 25+
98. Ultra Short Russell 2000 Growth ProShares
SKK: -.06 vs Last week: -.44 (High 1.99 / Low -2.55)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 35+
99. Silver Trust
SLV: -.27 vs Last week: -.09 (High 2.31 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 33-
100. Semiconductor
SMH: +.02 vs Last week: +.16 (High .48 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
101. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares
SRS: +.14 vs Last week: -.07 (High 5.25 / Low -3.10)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10+
102. Ultra S&P500 ProShares
SSO: -.19 vs Last week: +.08 (High 2.23 / Low: -2.41)Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 57-
103. Software
SWH: -.24 vs Last week: -.00 (High .61 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71-
104. Barclays 20-Year+ Treasury Bonds
TLT: +.04 vs Last week: +.15 (High .76 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 37+
105. Telecommunications
TTH: -.07 vs Last week: -.18 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81+
106. PowerShares US Dollar Index Bearish
UDN: -.02 vs Last week: +.07 (High .61 / Low -.91) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 92-
107. U.S. Natural Gas
UNG: +.02 vs Last week: +.12 (High .61 / Low -.91) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 63-
108. U.S. Oil
USO: -.03 vs Last week: +.23 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 91-
109. Utilities
UTH: +.23 vs Last week: +.35 (High .95 / Low -1.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99/
110. PowerShares US Dollar Index Bullish
UUP: +.17 vs Last week: +.09 (High .61 / Low -.91) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100+
111. Wireless
WMH: -.34 vs Last week: -.33 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 7+
112. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: -.11 vs Last week: -.00 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 51-
113. Materials Select Sector
XLB: -.24 vs Last week: -.02 (High .45 / Low -.67) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 44-
114. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.36 vs Last week: -.11 (High .80 / Low -1.31) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 35-
115. Financial Select Sector
XLF: -.02 vs Last week: -.01 (High .46 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 70-
116. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: -.23 vs Last week: -.00 (High .46 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11-
117. Technology Select Sector
XLK: -.00 vs Last week: +.20 (High .51 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 54-
118. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: -.21 vs Last week: +.01 (High .59 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34-
119. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: -.19 vs Last week: -.02 (High .57 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10/
120. Consumer Discretionary Select Sector
XLY: -.33 vs Last week: -.02 (High .44 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
121. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: -.12 vs Last week: +.17 (High .98 / Low -1.45) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 61-

125 Exchange Traded Funds(ETF) tracked: (Historic: High= 90% 5-15-09 / Low= 5% 10-31-08)

This week's ETFs results: Falling, Buy 27 / Sell 98 (22%) vs. Last week: Falling, Buy 70 / Sell 55 (56%) vs. Prior week: Fallng, Buy 88 / Sell 37 (70%)

Dow Past Ten Weekly Net Close: -157.65(7-2) -101.34(6-26) -259.53(6-19) +36.13(6-12) +262.80(6-5) +223.01(5-29) +8.68(5-22) -306.01(5-15) +362.24(5-8) +136.12(5-1)

Options & Futures Expiration: Friday 7-17-09 (4-week cycle)

www.GaleFinancialMarketEconometrics.blogspot.com
(First daily information available)
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
The three daily blogs provide:
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8:00amET Stock Market Forecast and Institutional Investor statistics
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Thursday, July 02, 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Thursday Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Below is an example of the MktMetrics program using DIA ETF current information. Our pattern recognition algorithm trading program covers the 1,000 most actively traded stocks and ETFs. Get a "14-Day FREE Trial" subscription to www.MktMetrics.com and begin to improved your trading results today!

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 07/02/09
Last Updated: 07/01/09

07/01/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 84.98
(High) 85.83
(Low) 84.93
(Close)85.03
(Range) 0.90

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 85.29
Today's Predicted High:85.82
Today's Predicted Low: 84.25
Today's Proposed Range: 1.57
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell (up from strong Sell)

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 51 Up from 48
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.60/0.68 Down
Current Trend: Negative -23 Down from -20
Demand Factor: 59 Down from 62
Stock Volatility: -0.44 Down from 1.78

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
07/01/09 12:45 Close: 85.39
Upside Potential: 86.37
Downside Potential: 83.23

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 86.63
2. 86.68
3. 86.73
4. 87.55

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 84.11
2. 83.33
3. 83.28
4. 83.23

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.18
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.86
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.52
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.17
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.45
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.28
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.49
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.58

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Thursday: 23%
DJIA Trend: Rising 39%
DJIA Momentum: Rising 94%
Dow Outlook: Bullish Rising 62%
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 84.1%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Thursday July 2 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

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Wednesday 7-1-09 DJIA Closed: 8,504.06 +57.06 vs. prior day: 8,447.00 -82.38
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,575.60 -11.28 vs. prior day: 8,586.88 -13.07
DJIA Closed: -.83% Below its Falling 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -1.63% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Thursday July 2 Stock Market Forecast

Thursdays: Rising 54.9% / 53.0% / 55.7% / 54.0% / 53.0%
(Lower Open, yet Higher Close from Open is greatest for Thursday)
Historic High: 66.7% (11-13-08) / Low 52.8% (3-12-09)

DJIA Trend Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-25-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-29-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Unch 12 vs. Down 19 (+0 vs +1 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Falling (8-day 84.18) vs. (21-day 85.86) -1.68 vs. Prior -1.76 (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Unch 39% vs Prior 39% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 94% vs. Prior 90% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.29 vs. Prior 0.95 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Rising 73 vs. Prior 72 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Rising 38 vs. Prior 35 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Rising 38 vs. Prior 36 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising 617 vs. Prior 477 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,586.88 / Intermediate Term 8,731.29 / Breakout 8,875.70
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,575.60 / Intermediate Term 8,425.55 / Breakdown 8,275.50

Thursday's Trading Highlights:
1. Stock futures lower ahead of jobs report -
2. Exelon raises bid for NRG Energy to $8 billion -
3. June jobless rate seen rising to 9.6 percent -
4. Euro zone unemployment hits 10-year high in May -
5. GM urges quick approval of sale plan -
6. Hitachi to supply lithium-ion batteries to GM -
7. States without budgets as key deadline passes -
8. Oil slips to $68 a barrel ahead of US jobs report -
9. Uncertain future for Jackson's Neverland Ranch -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Rising Current 50.97 vs. Previous day -13.43
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Summation Index: Rising Current 2,949.76 vs. Previous day 2,898.79
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Current -.08 vs. Previous day -.06 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Current 29% vs. Previous day 26% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Current 60.35% vs. Previous day 61.45% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Current 57.77% vs. Previous day 55.77% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Current -.10% vs. Previous day -.09% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 62% vs. Previous day 61% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 84.1% vs Previous day 83.3% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -33% vs. Yesterday -31% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Falling
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Unch 89 vs. Previous day 89 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Rising 25 vs. Previous day 12 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Rising 37 vs. Previous day -21 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Thursday Morning Market Observation:

Wednesday, the DJIA rose 57.06, +0.68%. It was higher in the morning, but gave back some of its gains in afternoon trading as trader prepared to vacate the premises. The volume was excessively low and will be even lower today as investors brace for a crucial U.S. jobs report that is expected to show another rise in unemployment and could give markets renewed direction. Our expectations are low for the stock market at this juncture due to the current distribution pattern that exists.

At the end of every quarter, Gale Financial Market Econometrics makes adjustments to the Stock Directory as we discard stocks that are trading below $5.00 per share. I bring this to your attention because we offer viewers participation in this event. If you wish to have a stocks or ETFS included, now is the time to submit your request to info@mktmetrics.com

Have a great holiday weekend.

Good luck and Good trading today!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Wednesday, July 01, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Thursday July 2 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
Trading Ideas for Thursday

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 23%

DJIA Trend Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-25-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-29-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Selected Stocks expected to Close "HIGHER" Thursday
BUY, Go-Long Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV: (Proposed Range)
ACV OFV: 25.69 (0.68)
AM OFV: 11.73 (1.63)
AVA OFV: 17.98 (0.43)
CSL OFV: 24.55 (0.56)
CYT OFV: 19.00 (0.80)
EXBD OFV: 20.75 (0.90)
FAF OFV: 26.48 (0.75)
ICON OFV: 15.68 (1.03)
IVAC OFV: 9.19 (0.34)
JKHY OFV: 20.90 (0.73)
LH OFV: 67.77 (1.47)
MDCO OFV: 8.44 (0.48)
MENT OFV: 5.89 (0.17)
MXWL OFV: 13.82 (0.96)
NDN OFV: 13.63 (0.41)
NLY OFV: 15.21 (0.29)
NOVN OFV: 14.55 (0.82)
ONXX OFV: 28.68 (1.16)
REGN OFV: 18.06 (0.72)
RHT OFV: 20.43 (1.06)
SLGN OFV: 49.46 (1.82)
SNX OFV: 27.15 (0.92)
SRSL OFV: 6.47 (0.51)
TKLC OFV: 17.06 (0.41)
TSRA OFV: 25.68 (1.21)
VIVO OFV: 22.74 (0.90)
VRTX OFV: 35.15 (1.40)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to close "LOWER" Thursday
SELL, Go-Short Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
ACI OFV: 15.46 (0.73)
AMD OFV: 3.95 (0.14)
BEBE OFV: 6.91 (0.24)
DHI OFV: 9.39 (0.41)
EGLE OFV: 4.71 (0.39)
EWO OFV: 16.55 (0.36)
EWT OFV: 10.38 (0.18)
FCL OFV: 27.73 (1.82)
FDO OFV: 28.47 (0.62)
FSLR OFV: 159.39 (9.31)
GVA OFV: 33.73 (0.90)
HIG OFV: 12.03 (0.79)
JRCC OFV: 15.38 (0.97)
KBH OFV: 13.55 (1.18)
MLM OFV: 79.16 (2.11)
MTW OFV: 5.47 (0.35)
MYGN OFV: 26.73 (2.13)
SRS OFV: 19.30 (1.13)
SSRI OFV: 19.24 (0.87)
STV OFV: 9.03 (0.27)
TNH OFV: 101.49 (6.08)
TWTC OFV: 10.38 (0.63)
V OFV: 61.64 (2.18)
WMT OFV: 48.42 (0.80)
XLY OFV: 23.33 (0.57)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

*Of 1,000 stocks & ETFs tracked, Unusual Volume are showing in these TOP TWENTY THREE issues from Wednesday, in decending order:

Symbol Rating *OFV: (Proposed Range)
TTH OFV: 23.18 (0.35)
OSK OFV: 18.44 (1.05)
MYGN OFV: 26.73 (2.13)
BDH OFV: 11.55 (0.22)
SNX OFV: 27.15 (0.92)
LEAP OFV: 30.91 (1.30)
VAR OFV: 34.14 (1.19)
LNN OFV: 36.83 (1.73)
IYZ OFV: 17.87 (0.30)
ELN OFV: 6.84 (0.31)
MENT OFV: 5.89 (0.17)
IYH OFV: 54.03 (1.11)
EWN OFV: 15.58 (0.31)
ILMN OFV: 38.59 (1.45)
HHH OFV: 42.57 (0.85)
EWM OFV: 8.97 (0.14)
AKAM OFV: 19.73 (0.65)
BEAT OFV: 9.87 (0.95)
GIS OFV: 57.77 (1.02)
CBST OFV: 18.05 (0.55)
SCHN OFV: 52.55 (3.31)
ADTN OFV: 22.07 (0.82)
AM OFV: 11.73 (1.63)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

I'm often asked what my favorite and most predictive indicators are in analyzing the Current Trend of the stock market. Here are my Favorite Five:
1. DJIA Outlook: Rising 62% vs. 61% previous day (High 86% 6-12)
2. DJIA Trend: Unch 39% vs. 39% previous day (High 84% 6-4)
3. Institutional Demand: Falling 60.35% vs. 61.45% previous day (High 75.87% 6-8)
4. DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising 617 vs. 477 previous day (High: 1957 5-18)
5. DIA ma diff. 8-day vs 21-day: Rising -1.68 vs. -1.76 prior day (High: 4.31)

Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com and receive the complete daily information you need to become a successful Investor/Trader. You can beat the NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers at their own game if you have our Pattern Recognition Algorithm Trading Program to make better investment decisions.

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

MktMetrics.com has been serving Institutional Investors and High Net Worth Individuals since April 2005, Douglas Gale its Founder, has 34 years experience as a successful Securites Trader and former technology vendor to Schwab CyberTrader.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Wednesday Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Below is an example of the MktMetrics program using DIA ETF current information. Our pattern recognition algorithm trading program covers the 1,000 most actively traded stocks and ETFs. Get a "14-Day FREE Trial" subscription to www.MktMetrics.com and begin to improved your trading results today!

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 07/01/09
Last Updated: 06/30/09

06/30/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 85.32
(High) 85.64
(Low) 83.96
(Close)84.66
(Range) 1.68

DIA Wednesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 84.85
Today's Predicted High: 85.48
Today's Predicted Low: 83.85
Today's Proposed Range: 1.63
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 48 Down from 49
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.80/0.70 Up
Current Trend: Negative -20 Down from -6
Demand Factor: 62 Down from 63
Stock Volatility: 1.78 Up from 0.49

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
06/30/09 12:45 Close: 84.26
Upside Potential: 86.39
Downside Potential: 83.13

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 85.64
2. 86.35
3. 87.03
4. 87.35

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 83.93
2. 83.61
3. 82.97
4. 82.28

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.22
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.98
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.51
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.10
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.34
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.13
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.48
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.70

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Wednesday: 81%
DJIA Trend: Rising 39%
DJIA Momentum: Falling 90%
Dow Outlook: Bullish Rising 61%
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 83.3%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday July 1 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Trial" to www.MktMetrics.com- See for yourself before you make a trade, at what price NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Tuesday 6-30-09 DJIA Closed: 8,447.00 -82.38 vs. prior day: 8,529.38 +90.99
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,586.88 -13.07 vs. prior day: 8,599.95 +1.38
DJIA Closed: -1.63% Below its Falling 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -.82% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Wednesday July 1 Stock Market Forecast

Wednesdays: Falling 50.9% / 51.9% / 52.7% / 54.7% / 55.7%
Historic High: 79.1% (10-13-07) / Low: 47.1% (11-19-08)

DJIA Trend Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-25-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-29-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising 12 vs. Down 19 (+1 vs +1 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Unch (8-day 84.22 ) vs. (21-day 85.98 ) -1.76 vs. Prior -1.76 (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Rising 39% vs Prior 35% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 90% vs. Prior 94% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 0.95 vs. Prior 0.22 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Rising 72 vs. Prior 69 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Falling 35 vs. Prior 36 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Falling 36 vs. Prior 38 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 477 vs. Prior 687 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,599.95 / Intermediate Term 8,743.67 / Breakout 8,887.40
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8586.88 / Intermediate Term 8,436.59 / Breakdown 8,286.30

Wednesday's Trading Highlights:
1. US stocks look to start 3Q on high note -
2. General Mills 4th-quarter profit almost doubles -
3. Dunkin' Donuts pulls drinks in salmonella concern -
4. General Motors' sale hearing to continue Wednesday -
5. General Motors says China sales up 38 percent -
6. Citigroup sells NikkoCiti Trust to Nomura Trust -
7. Morgan Stanley, Mitsubishi UFJ to form finance JV -
8. Oil rises above $71 as US crude inventories drop -
9. Is Twitter the news outlet for the 21st century? -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Falling Current -13.43 vs. Previous day 17.93
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Summation Index: Falling Current 2,898.79 vs. Previous day 2,912.23
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Current -.06 vs. Previous day -.02 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Current 26% vs. Previous day 39% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Current 61.45% vs. Previous day 63.06% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Current 55.77% vs. Previous day 58.03% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Current -.09% vs. Previous day -.01% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish, Unch 61% vs. Previous day 61% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, Positive yet flat.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, Falling 83.3% vs Previous day 85.3% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -20% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -31% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Unch Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today 7% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Falling
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling 89 vs. Previous day 119 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Unch#3 12 vs. Previous day 12 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Falling -21 vs. Previous day -12 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Wednesday Morning Market Observation:

The stock market is set to begin a new month and the third quarter. As the economy remains soft at best, we look forward to earnings season. Third quarter earnings reports is notorious for showing weakness of all the four quarters in the year. I bring this up because the many indicators we examine daily look dismal. However, the stats have improved for the DJIA Trend and DJIA Outlook a tad and we are expecting a better day today as we begin a new month, as July 1st often begins on a solid note.

As people gear up for a long holiday weekend of activities, many traders are slipping out the back door to leave early. This will leave many wondering where the volume went and will most likely motivate others to hit-the-road as well. So with the 81% probability of the DIA being "Up" today, the stock market might see higher prices to encourage the few traders left on the street that there is much to be thankful for being an independent tax paying American.

Keep in mind for those who wish to participate in today's market action that the stock market remains adrift and any upside might prove to be disappointing as there is so much overhead supply and not enough participants to break through the barrier above. I am still under the impression that it would be much more constructive for the DJIA to come down to the 7900-8000 level, and preferably 7100 during the quarter.

Good luck and Good trading today!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Tuesday, June 30, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Wednesday July 1 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
Trading Ideas for Tuesday

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 81%

DJIA Trend Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-25-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-29-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Selected Stocks expected to Close "HIGHER" Wednesday
BUY, Go-Long Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV: (Proposed Range)
ACV OFV: 25.45 (0.71)
AM OFV: 11.46 (1.42)
AVA OFV: 17.93 (0.45)
BDH OFV: 11.64 (0.25)
BLL OFV: 44.94 (1.20)
CPSI OFV: 38.68 (1.36)
CSL OFV: 24.25 (0.67)
CYT OFV: 18.11 (1.20)
DLLR OFV: 13.81 (0.57)
ESRX OFV: 68.68 (2.55)
EXBD OFV: 20.60 (0.57)
FAF OFV: 25.68 (0.73)
GLBL OFV: 5.65 (0.39)
ICON OFV: 15.32 (0.88)
IVAC OFV: 8.53 (0.35)
JKHY OFV: 20.76 (0.49)
LH OFV: 67.50 (1.54)
MDCO OFV: 8.30 (0.39)
MSTR OFV: 50.02 (1.80)
MXWL OFV: 13.71 (1.03)
NDN OFV: 13.54 (0.41)
NLY OFV: 15.09 (0.25)
NOVN OFV: 14.36 (0.70)
REGN OFV: 17.84 (0.61)
RMD OFV: 41.24 (1.17)
SLE OFV: 9.66 (0.25)
SRSL OFV: 6.64 (0.43)
THOR OFV: 26.90 (1.00)
TKLC OFV: 16.75 (0.41)
TSRA OFV: 25.39 (1.31)
VIVO OFV: 22.70 (0.77)
VRTX OFV: 35.75 (1.37)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to close "LOWER" Wednesday
SELL, Go-Short Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
BEBE OFV: 6.96 (0.19)
BIO OFV: 75.62 (2.63)
DHI OFV: 9.52 (0.44)
FDO OFV: 28.61 (0.69)
FXP OFV: 12.23 (0.72)
KBH OFV: 14.00 (0.95)
MLM OFV: 79.15 (2.31)
SRS OFV: 19.78 (1.21)
SVU OFV: 13.07 (0.62)
TNH OFV: 102.85 (6.45)
TNP OFV: 16.65 (0.73)
TRA OFV: 24.28 (1.13)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

*Of 1,000 stocks & ETFs tracked, Unusual Volume are showing in these TOP NINETEEN issues from Tuesday:

Symbol Rating *OFV: (Proposed Range)
ELX OFV: 10.11 (0.24)
WDC OFV: 26.43 (0.92)
SCHN OFV: 54.74 (3.50)
ELN OFV: 6.56 (0.34)
IR OFV: 21.01 (0.68)
APOL OFV: 71.32 (2.37)
HRB OFV: 17.01 (0.40)
BIIB OFV: 45.92 (1.28)
LNCR OFV: 22.80 (0.65)
PWO OFV: 34.01 (0.42)
CTL OFV: 31.23 (0.70)
EWP OFV: 40.18 (0.99)
ATK OFV: 82.68 (2.24)
SAFM OFV: 44.74 (1.06)
SMS OFV: 20.75 (1.07)
DRIV OFV: 36.72 (1.23)
AM OFV: 11.46 (1.42)
DBA OFV: 25.31 (0.38)
FCS OFV: 7.21 (0.50)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

I'm often asked what my favorite and most predictive indicators are in analyzing the Current Trend of the stock market. Here are my Favorite Five:
1. DJIA Outlook: Unch 61% vs. 61% previous day (High 86% 6-12)
2. DJIA Trend: Rising 39% vs. 35% previous day (High 84% 6-4)
3. Institutional Demand: Falling 61.45% vs. 63.06% previous day (High 75.87% 6-8)
4. DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 477 vs. 687 previous day (High: 1957 5-18)
5. DIA ma diff. 8-day vs 21-day: Unch -1.76 vs. -1.76 prior day (High: 4.31)

Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com and receive the complete daily information you need to become a successful Investor/Trader. You can beat the NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers at their own game if you have our Pattern Recognition Algorithm Trading Program to make better investment decisions.

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

MktMetrics.com has been serving Institutional Investors and High Net Worth Individuals since April 2005, Douglas Gale its Founder, has 34 years experience as a successful Securites Trader and former technology vendor to Schwab CyberTrader.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Tuesday Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Below is an example of the MktMetrics program using DIA ETF current information. Our pattern recognition algorithm trading program covers the 1,000 most actively traded stocks and ETFs. Get a "14-Day FREE Trial" subscription to www.MktMetrics.com and begin to improved your trading results today!

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 06/30/09
Last Updated: 06/29/09

06/29/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 84.53
(High) 85.35
(Low) 84.30
(Close)85.25
(Range) 1.05

DIA Tuesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 84.84
Today's Predicted High: 85.92
Today's Predicted Low: 84.59
Today's Proposed Range: 1.33
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 49 Up from 42
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.50/0.77 Down
Current Trend: Negative -6 Down from -3
Demand Factor: 63 Up from 60
Stock Volatility: 0.49 Up from -0.31

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
06/29/09 12:45 Close: 85.17
Upside Potential: 86.76
Downside Potential: 84.10

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 85.99
2. 86.22
3. 86.96
4. 87.06

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 83.64
2. 83.55
3. 82.84
4. 82.61

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.34
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 86.10
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.52
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.03
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.22
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.03
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.46
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.85

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Tuesday: 3%
DJIA Trend: Rising 35%
DJIA Momentum: Rising 94%
Dow Outlook: Bullish Rising 61%
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 85.3%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday June 30 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Trial" to www.MktMetrics.com- See for yourself before you make a trade, at what price NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 6-29-09 DJIA Closed: 8,529.38 +90.99 vs. prior day: 8,438.39 -34.01
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,599.95 +1.38 vs. prior day: 8,598.57 +1.65
DJIA Closed: -.82% Below Rising 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -1.86% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Tuesday June 30 Stock Market Forecast

Tuesdays: Falling 49.0% / 50.0% / 49.0% / 49.0% / 48.0%
Historic High: 63.8% (8-27-07) / Low: 46.2% (5-5-09)

DJIA Trend Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-25-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-29-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising 11 vs. Down 20 (+1 vs +2 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Unch (8-day 84.34) vs. (21-day 86.10) -1.76 vs. Prior -1.78 (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Rising 35% vs Prior 32% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 94% vs. Prior 87% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Unch 0.22 vs. Prior 0.21 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Rising 69 vs. Prior 43 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Rising 36 vs. Prior 25 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Rising 38 vs. Prior 32 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising 687 vs. Prior 307 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,599.95 / Intermediate Term 8,750.43 / Breakout 8,900.90
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,598.57 / Intermediate Term 8,448.79 / Breakdown 8,299.00

Tuesday's Trading Highlights:
1. Stock futures point to higher open ahead of data -
2. World stocks awaiting cue for next move - -
3. Iraqi oil licensing round runs into trouble -
4. FDA panel to vote on painkiller restrictions -
5. Attorneys await decision on Stanford's bond -
6. Japan unemployment rises to 5 1/2-year high -
7. Disney to boost HK park with $465M expansion -
8. Oil up to near $72 on dollar fall, Nigeria attack -
9. Taiwan opens door for Chinese investment -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Rising Current 17.93 vs. Previous day -8.19
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Summation Index: Rising Current 2,912.23 vs. Previous day 2,894.30
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Current -.02 vs. Previous day -.01 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch#3 Current 39% vs. Previous day 39% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, negative yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Rising Current 63.06% vs. Previous day 59.64% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Current 58.03% vs. Previous day 52.96% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Current -.01% vs. Previous day .01% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 61% vs. Previous day 59% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 85.3% vs Previous day 81.9% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 10% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 10% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Unch Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 14% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 25% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Unch Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Unch Trend Today -0% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Rising
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising 119 vs. Previous day 98 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Unch 12 vs. Previous day 12 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Rising -12 vs. Previous day -53 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Tuesday Morning Market Observation:

As I was watching CNBC before the market open on Monday, a floor trader stated that he felt the market had plenty of upside because the Administration continues to flood the markets and economy with unlimited money. How can the stock market not go up under these circumstances, he said. It is this kind of statement and others being promulgated that are seducing portfolio money managers and hedge fund operators into believing that the upside has no resistance. It is the panic of money managers' need to buy inventory to post on customers statements after the second quarter ends today and the notices go out in July to alert customers that they too, participated in the recent rise from the March lows. It is called window dressing, but in reality is eye wash to fool the public.

To meet the current demand that this folly is generating, there has to be sellers for all this pent-up requirement to buy, buy, buy inventory. Those sellers are the other side of the trade, a.k.a. Specialists, Market Makers and Broker-Dealers that are there to service the demand by selling into the strength of all those orders. That is the true essence of merchandising and the game of swapping cash for paper, I mean securities.

It is uncomfortable for a prediction to be off by a day or two, but the markets always correct and the Exchange Insiders (Agency Brokers, Market Makers and Specialist) rarely get stuck with inventory, and if they do, government/taxpayers are forced to reach into their pockets to replenish the cash to keep the game alive. Don't be lulled by what is going on in today's stock market trading. Be proactive, not reactive, and think like an Agency Dealer that is filling orders for their portfolio money managers customers that unaware and uninformed in the high rise offices.

PS: The Stock Market is subject to change without notice, expect the unexpected.

Good luck and Good trading today!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Monday, June 29, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Tuesday June 30 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
Trading Ideas for Tuesday

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 3%

DJIA Trend Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-25-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-29-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Selected Stocks expected to Close "HIGHER" Tuesday
BUY, Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV: (Proposed Range)
ACV OFV: 25.62 (0.57)
AM OFV: 10.93 (1.00)
AVA OFV: 17.88 (0.50)
BDH OFV: 11.70 (0.16)
BLL OFV: 44.63 (1.07)
CPSI OFV: 39.32 (1.16)
CSL OFV: 24.61 (0.58)
DLLR OFV: 13.95 (0.67)
ESRX OFV: 67.97 (2.08)
EXBD OFV: 20.59 (0.71)
IGN OFV: 23.69 (0.57)
JKHY OFV: 20.83 (0.24)
LH OFV: 66.91 (1.17)
MXWL OFV: 13.76 (0.78)
NDN OFV: 13.57 (0.42)
NLY OFV: 15.07 (0.25)
NOVN OFV: 14.34 (0.48)
QCOM OFV: 45.94 (1.37)
REGN OFV: 17.84 (0.72)
RMD OFV: 41.22 (1.00)
SRSL OFV: 6.79 (0.32)
TKLC OFV: 16.78 (0.52)
TSRA OFV: 25.17 (1.15)
UTEK OFV: 12.48 (0.45)
VIVO OFV: 22.57 (0.52)
VRTX OFV: 35.78 (1.07)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to close "LOWER" Tuesday
SELL, Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
ADSK OFV:
AIV OFV:
BBT OFV:
BIO OFV:
CR OFV:
CSIQ OFV:
DW OFV:
EXM OFV:
FSLR OFV:
FXP OFV:
GE OFV:
GPRO OFV:
HOC OFV:
IBN OFV:
IGT OFV:
IIVI OFV:
INFY OFV:
INTC OFV:
ITRI OFV:
KGC OFV:
KIM OFV:
LEAP OFV:
LNN OFV:
LSTR OFV:
MAC OFV:
MLM OFV:
NITE OFV:
OI OFV:
PTEN OFV:
SAFT OFV:
SNA OFV:
SPLS OFV:
STV OFV:
SUN OFV:
SVU OFV:
SYK OFV:
TCB OFV:
TGT OFV:
TRA OFV:
TRV OFV:
TSS OFV:
TWI OFV:
VAR OFV:
WRE OFV:
XLI OFV:
XLP OFV:
YUM OFV:
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

*Of 1,000 stocks & ETFs tracked, Unusual Volume are showing in these TOP SEVENTEEN issues from Monday:

Symbol Rating *OFV: (Proposed Range)
MXWL OFV: 13.76 (0.78)
FOSL OFV: 23.62 (1.01)
BIO OFV: 76.17 (1.89)
ITF OFV: 40.91 (0.66)
WW OFV: 38.35 (0.93)
AMN OFV: 65.35 (1.66)
GSH OFV: 23.86 (0.55)
MSM OFV: 35.15 (0.77)
EPD OFV: 25.04 (0.63)
BIIB OFV: 47.37 (1.59)
LNN OFV: 33.55 (1.99)
SNX OFV: 24.44 (1.34)
GSIC OFV: 14.07 (0.48)
MENT OFV: 5.23 (0.19)
SI OFV: 70.56 (1.73)
ELN OFV: 7.15 (0.32)
SLM OFV: 9.97 (0.61)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

I'm often asked what my favorite and most predictive indicators are in analyzing the Current Trend of the stock market. Here are my Favorite Five:
1. DJIA Outlook: Rising 61% vs. 59% previous day (High 86% 6-12)
2. DJIA Trend: Rising 35% vs. 32% previous day (High 84% 6-4)
3. Institutional Demand: Rising 63.06% vs. 59.64% previous day (High 75.87% 6-8)
4. DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising 687 vs. 307 previous day (High: 1957 5-18)
5. DIA ma diff. 8-day vs 21-day: Contracting -1.76 vs. -1.78 prior day (High: 4.31)

Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com and receive the complete daily information you need to become a successful Investor/Trader. You can beat the NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers at their own game if you have our Pattern Recognition Algorithm Trading Program to make better investment decisions.

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

MktMetrics.com has been serving Institutional Investors and High Net Worth Individuals since April 2005, Douglas Gale its Founder, has 34 years experience as a successful Securites Trader and former technology vendor to Schwab CyberTrader.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Monday Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Below is an example of the MktMetrics program using DIA ETF current information. Our pattern recognition algorithm trading program covers the 1,000 most actively traded stocks and ETFs. Get a "14-Day FREE Trial" subscription to www.MktMetrics.com and begin to improved your trading results today!

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 06/29/09
Last Updated: 06/26/09

06/26/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 84.49
(High) 84.69
(Low) 84.02
(Close)84.25
(Range) 0.67

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 84.36
Today's Predicted High: 84.83
Today's Predicted Low: 83.67
Today's Proposed Range: 1.16
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell (down from sell)

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 42 Up from 40
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.50/0.82 Down
Current Trend: Negative -3 Down from 7
Demand Factor: 60 Down from 61
Stock Volatility: -0.31 Down from 4.45

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
06/26/09 12:45 Close: 84.33
Upside Potential: 85.35
Downside Potential: 83.03

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 85.70
2. 85.94
3. 86.18
4. 86.38

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 83.00
2. 82.80
3. 82.57
4. 82.34

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.33
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 86.11
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.44
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.95
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.14
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 82.93
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.40
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.00

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Monday: 55%
DJIA Trend: Rising 32%
DJIA Momentum: Falling 87%
Dow Outlook: Bullish, Falling 59%
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, Falling 81.9%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Monday June 29 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Trial" to www.MktMetrics.com- See for yourself before you make a trade, at what price NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Friday 6-26-09 DJIA Closed: 8,438.39 -34.01 vs. prior day: 8,472.40 +172.54
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,598.57 +1.65 vs. prior day: 8,596.92 +8.21
DJIA Closed: -1.86% Below Rising 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -1.45% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Monday June 29 Stock Market Forecast

Mondays: Falling 24.4% / 25% / 26% / 25% / 25%
(Lower Close from Open is greatest for Monday)
Historic High: 63.8% (8-27-07) / Low: 24.4% (6-22-09)

DJIA Trend Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-25-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 6-15-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising 10 vs. Down 21 (+2 vs +2 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Falling contracting (8-day 84.33) vs. (21-day 86.11) -1.78(-.14) vs. Prior -1.64(-.29) (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Rising 32% vs Prior 26% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 87% vs. Prior 94% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.21 vs. Prior 1.88 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Rising 43 vs. Prior 30 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Rising 25 vs. Prior 20 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Falling 32 vs. Prior 33 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 307 vs. Prior 347 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,598.57 / Intermediate Term 8,749.04 / Breakout 8,899.50
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,596.92 / Intermediate Term 8,447.26 / Breakdown 8,297.60

Monday's Trading Highlights:
1. Madoff due in court for sentencing today -
2. European markets up modestly after solid euro data -
3. IEA sees oil demand up 0.6 pct a year through 2014 -
4. Enterprise, Teppco merge, form energy partnership -
5. Japan industrial output up 5.9 percent in May -
6. Reports: China loan spree goes to stocks, property -
7. For modest earners, relief repaying student loans -
8. Oil hovers near $69 as traders eye US economy -
9. Toyota technology has brain waves move wheelchair -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Rising Current -8.19 vs. Previous day -34.30
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Summation Index: Falling Current 2,894.30 vs. Previous day 2,902.48
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Current -.01 vs. Previous day .02 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed at its Mean, Neutral and flat.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch Current 39% vs. Previous day 39% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, negative yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Rising Current 59.64% vs. Previous day 59.13% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Current 52.96% vs. Previous day 51.39% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Current .01% vs. Previous day .06% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish, Unch 59% vs. Previous day 59% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet flat.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, Falling 81.9% vs Previous day 82.5% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 13% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 19% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 16% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 25% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Unch Trend Today -0% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Rising from an oversold condition
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising 98 vs. Previous day 61 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Rising 12 vs. Previous day 4 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Rising -53 vs. Previous day -77 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Monday Morning Market Observation:

Over the past six trading sessions investors have witnessed four consecutive down days, followed by Thursday's up day, then Friday's down day. The past two weeks, the stock market has been down. Black Fridays are cemented in investor's minds and appear every long term cycle, typically during the March/April or September/October months. Blue Mondays are not talked about as much, but come up periodically in such long term cycles. As we look back over the past year, it is easy to recollect the pain of the September/October stock market crash of 2008. The beginning of March in 2009 was also newsworthy that caused investors to fear a depression was at hand. These events are of importance for not only making investors more cautious in their thinking going forward, but also to wonder what type of recovery will we see over the ensuing 3-5 years. The U, W or L shaped stock market and economic recoveries are often discussed as we seek a clarity as to our future.

In recent blogs posted, I have mentioned that it appears that the DJIA will at least come down to the 7900 level of support. I have also mentioned in the blogs that I prefer the thought process of the 7100 level before we can begin to appreciate a real recovery. As I poured over the numbers this past weekend generated from recent trading activity, I can't help myself to think that Traders may see a Blue Monday reappear as soon as today! Last Monday there was a downward spike in volume distribution, and the same spike occurred in Friday's trading. This information, coupled with so many other indicators of the same negativity makes me sense that a Blue Monday could be at hand. While I am not always right in my predictions, I have been at this for 34 years and believe that perhaps my stable of clientele should be aware of this possibility occurring once again going into this week's trading.

Food for thought as Mondays have been the worst performers of the week lately and the stock market has been under distribution, not accumulation.

Good luck and Good trading today!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Sunday, June 28, 2009

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell & Five Day Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Probability Percent of being "Up" Monday 6-29-09
DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 55% vs. 61% last week

This Week vs. Last Week Trend & Outlook Statistics
DIA Trend: Falling this Week 32% vs. 52% last week
DIA Momentum: Rising this Week 87% vs. 84% last week
DIA Outlook: Bullish, yet Falling 59% vs. 74% last week
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, yet Falling 81.9% vs. 84.9% last week

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
This Week's Five Day Forecast (6-29 through 7-3)

Mondays: Falling 24.4% / 25% / 26% / 25% / 25%
(Lower Close from Open is greatest for Monday)
Historic High: 63.8% (8-27-07) / Low: 24.4% (6-22-09)

Tuesdays: Falling 49.0% / 50.0% / 49.0% / 49.0% / 48.0%
Historic High: 63.8% (8-27-07) / Low: 46.2% (5-5-09)

Wednesdays: Falling 50.9% / 51.9% / 52.7% / 54.7% / 55.7%
Historic High: 79.1% (10-13-07) / Low: 47.1% (11-19-08)

Thursdays: Rising 54.9% / 53.0% / 55.7% / 54.0% / 53.0%
(Lower Open, yet Higher Close from Open is greatest for Thursday)
Historic High: 66.7% (11-13-08) / Low 52.8% (3-12-09)

Fridays: Falling 52.9% / 54.0% / 51.8% / 50.0% / 49.0%
(Higher Open is greatest for Friday)
Historic High: 60.7 (1-7-07) / Low 35.9% (10-31-08)

50 Weeks: Falling 46.5% / 47.0% / 47.4% / 46.9% / 46.4%
Historic High: 61.3 (7-13-07) / Low 45.0 (3-6-09)

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Signal & Trend
Sym/Sig/Demand/Range/*IRS/Trend/Volatility
AA BUY- 85+ 0.56 65U 0.19+ -0.16D
AXP SELL- 86- 1.09 52D 0.00+ 0.43D
BA SELL- 87- 1.63 33D -0.09+ 0.58D
BAC BUY 16+ 0.71 58U 0.07+ 0.11U
CAT SELL 82- 1.21 49U 0.06+ 0.88D
CSCO SELL 55- 0.44 48D 0.04+ 0.05D
CVX S/SELL- 37- 1.46 33D 0.00+ -0.43D
DD S/SELL 75+ 0.68 40U -0.16+ 0.02D
DIA S/SELL- 60- 1.16 42U -0.03+ -0.31D
DIS S/SELL 69+ 0.65 46U -0.07+ -0.07D
GE S/SELL- 26- 0.38 40D -0.07+ 0.14D
HD SELL+ 56- 0.45 42U 0.03+ 1.02D
HPQ S/BUY 87- 0.79 82D 0.30+ 0.79D
IBM S/SELL- 71/ 1.30 42U -0.12+ 1.75D
INTC BUY 77+ 0.41 68U 0.07+ 0.05D
JNJ S/BUY+ 54+ 0.66 79U 0.11+ 1.53D
JPM SELL+ 56+ 1.54 51U -0.25+ 0.70D
KFT SELL 10+ 0.56 47U -0.11+ 0.41D
KO BUY+ 59+ 0.92 53U 0.02+ 0.14U
MCD S/SELL 20- 0.89 33U -0.06+ 0.17D
MMM BUY 88+ 1.38 70U 0.24+ -0.36D
MRK BUY+ 67+ 0.60 62U 0.01+ 0.96D
MSFT S/BUY 70- 0.58 83D 0.21+ -0.05D
PFE SELL 49+ 0.31 76U -0.06+ 0.55D
PG BUY+ 76+ 1.85 65U -0.07+ -0.76D
T S/BUY 25+ 0.55 55U 0.03+ -0.23D
TRV SELL- 79+ 1.23 50D 0.10+ -0.33D
UTX SELL 60- 1.37 41D -0.11+ -0.07D
VZ BUY- 78+ 1.13 81D 0.15+ -1.15D
WMT S/SELL 4- 0.81 18D -0.08+ 0.27D
XOM SELL 85- 1.40 38D 0.09+ -0.01D
*IRS: Price Internal Relative Strength

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Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Stocks In Review Weekly Edition

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This Week's Best & Worst Opportunities

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
TRADING IDEAS for Monday 6-29-09

Selected BEST Positive Stocks (BUY/Buy-Long Ideas)
Steady Accumulation confirmed by Up Trend

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
ACV OFV: 25.52 (0.41)
AM OFV: 10.39 (0.41)
AMZN OFV: 82.71 (2.90)
AVA OFV: 17.77 (0.54)
BDH OFV: 11.71 (0.18)
BIDU OFV: 296.59 (14.25)
BLL OFV: 42.54 (1.00)
CPSI OFV: 37.88 (1.26)
CSL OFV: 24.54 (0.66)
DLLR OFV: 13.87 (0.67)
ESRX OFV: 68.09 (1.66)
EXAR OFV: 7.32 (0.19)
EXBD OFV: 19.95 (0.63)
IGN OFV: 23.52 (0.51)
JKHY OFV: 20.42 (0.19)
LH OFV: 67.02 (1.31)
MSTR OFV: 50.21 (2.01)
MXWL OFV: 13.96 (0.66)
NDN OFV: 13.67 (0.43)
NOVN OFV: 14.23 (0.46)
PAS OFV: 26.27 (0.42)
PSEM OFV: 8.78 (0.44)
QCOM OFV: 46.23 (1.26)
REGN OFV: 17.74 (0.89)
RHT OFV: 19.44 (0.96)
RMD OFV: 40.71 (0.91)
SOHU OFV: 66.48 (2.23)
SRSL OFV: 6.75 (0.27)
TKLC OFV: 16.68 (0.57)
UTEK OFV: 12.56 (0.45)
VIVO OFV: 22.38 (0.61)
VRTX OFV: 35.55 (0.91)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected WORST Negative Stocks (SELL/Sell-Short Ideas)
Steady Distribution confirmed by Down Trend

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
AMD OFV: 3.66 (0.21)
BEBE OFV: 6.69 (0.16)
IMN OFV: 7.83 (0.31)
KBH OFV: 14.08 (0.63)
OSIP OFV: 28.30 (0.89)
PHM OFV: 8.91 (0.30)
SAFT OFV: 30.26 (0.98)
SVU OFV: 13.52 (0.64)
TRA OFV: 25.64 (1.15)
TWTC OFV: 10.28 (0.48)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

In the 1960's, Analyst Joseph Granville of E.F. Hutton & Co., originated "on balance volume" and developed a theory that "volume preceeds price" as a characteristic of stock price movement, up or down. Of the 1,000 stocks & ETFs Gale Financial Market Econometrics tracks, Unusual Volume was posted in the following TOP FORTY issues on Friday:

Symbol Rating *OFV (Proposed Range)
SRSL OFV: 6.75 (0.27)
BIO OFV: 77.34 (1.46)
MCRS OFV: 25.14 (0.76)
TWTC OFV: 10.28 (0.48)
TTI OFV: 7.58 (0.66)
GLBL OFV: 5.55 (0.44)
SY OFV: 31.59 (0.60)
PALM OFV: 15.77 (0.89)
ALXN OFV: 40.12 (1.34)
EXBD OFV: 19.95 (0.63)
RBN OFV: 19.70 (0.80)
IBKR OFV: 15.41 (0.44)
NOVN OFV: 14.23 (0.46)
PSEM OFV: 8.78 (0.44)
MVL OFV: 35.22 (0.79)
MYGN OFV: 35.94 (1.10)
UTHR OFV: 84.21 (2.47)
CDI OFV: 10.33 (0.66)
ADCT OFV: 7.76 (0.31)
MXIM OFV: 16.19 (0.52)
LWSN OFV: 5.40 (0.23)
IR OFV: 21.40 (0.67)
MXWL OFV: 13.96 (0.66)
OSIP OFV: 28.30 (0.89)
AMN OFV: 61.10 (2.16)
BOLT OFV: 11.61 (0.90)
ANN OFV: 7.94 (0.51)
VTIV OFV: 13.39 (0.48)
GMCR OFV: 57.54 (2.59)
WMS OFV: 31.50 (0.91)
AMLN OFV: 13.35 (0.40)
BEBE OFV: 6.69 (0.16)
JKHY OFV: 20.42 (0.19)
SAFT OFV: 30.26 (0.98)
BFS OFV: 29.57 (1.37)
BSX OFV: 10.28 (0.31)
KBH OFV: 14.08 (0.63)
RSTI OFV: 19.66 (0.83)
PTEN OFV: 12.63 (0.62)
SMS OFV: 20.94 (0.84)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

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Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Good Luck and Good Trading Monday!

Douglas Gale, President & Founder
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
www.MktMetrics.com
www.GaleFinancialMarketEconometrics.blogspot.com

Saturday, June 27, 2009

Stock Market Analysis Weekly ETF Edition

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending June 26, 2009 (Current Statistics plus Historic: Highs /Lows)

U.S. Economic Health Formula
(Definition: <1.00 is Bullish) (>1.00 is Bearish)

Sym Rating PrIS Trend Demand Factor Result
UUP BUY 43 09 73 125
USO BUY 70 23 95 188 = 0.66
SPY BUY 65 11 81 157
GLD SELL 40 -12 61 89 = 1.76
RTH SELL 40 09 41 90
DBC BUY 57 24 100 181 = 0.50
Conclusion 6-26-09:
(.66+1.76+.50)/3 = 0.97 (barely Bullish)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, yet Falling 81.9% vs Last week: 84.9% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean: 50.9%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish, yet Falling 59% vs Last week: 74% (Historic: High 89% / Low 2% 3-6-09) Mean: 45.5%

DJIA Trading Range: High 14,164.53(10-11-07) / Low 6,443.27(3-6-09) (Range: 7,721.26) (Mean: 10,303.90)

DJIA Closed: 8,472.40 -67.33 vs. Last week: 8,539.73 -259.53
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 8,596.92 +4.35 vs. Last week: 8,592.57 +33.73
DJIA Trend: Falling 32% vs. Last week: 52% (High 100% 3-31-09 / Low: 0% 6-27-08 9-13-08)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 87% vs. Last week: 84% (High 97% / Low 0% 10-24,11-12,11-21-08& 2-25,3-6-09)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.21% vs. Last week: 0.80% (High 9.80% 10-10-08 / Low -2.37% 11-28-08)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling +307 vs. Last week +456 (High 1,957 5-11-09 / Low -3,881 11-20-08)
DJIA Resistance: Rising 8,749.03 +6.10 vs. Last week 8,742.93 +34.31 (High: +236 4-3-09 Low: -543 10-24-08)
DJIA Breakout: Rising 8,899.5 vs. Last week 8,893.30
DJIA Support: Rising 8,447.26 +7.88 vs. Last week: 8,439.38 +42.58 (High: +224 4-10-09 Low: -525 10-24-08)
DJIA Breakdown: Rising 8,297.60 vs. Last week: 8,291.80
DJIA Regression Channel Statistics: Rising Current -.366 vs. Last week: -.381 (High ? / Low -.478 4-9-09)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Rising 137 vs. Last week: 94 (High +704 4-3-09 / Low -965 10-10-08)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Rising -85 vs. Last week: -114 (High +349 / Low -646 10-27-08)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Falling -1.86% vs. Last week: -.61% (High 10.56% 3-26-09 / Low -19.26% 10-10-08)
DJIA Stochastic 5-Day Indicator: Rising 43 vs. Last week: 25 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 25 vs. Last week: 47 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Falling 32 vs. Last week: 36 (High 97 / Low 11)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Rising -53 vs. Last week: -87 (High 255 / Low -285)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Unch 1.4 vs. Last week: 1.4 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)

"Let's take a deeper look into what the Smart Money is currently doing with their Inventory."

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Rising -8.19 vs Last week: -132.97 (High 365 / Low -416)

Summation Index: Falling 2,894.30 vs Last week: 3,549.36 (High 4,822 5-12-09 / Low -4,699)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling -.01% vs Last week: .03% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.31% (6-27-08)

Institutional Money Flow Index: Falling 39% vs Last week: 65% (High 97% 9-19,10-1-07, 4-3-09 / Low 0% 6-25,10-9,17,24,11-13-08; 2-26-09)

Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 59.64% vs Last week: 60.97% (High 86.8% / Low 8.16% 10-9-08)

Institutional Inventory Index: Falling 52.96% vs Last week: 56.71% (High 81.1% / Low 6.42% 10-9-08)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling +.01 vs Last week: +.06 (High +.45 4-3-09 / Low -.77 10-10-08)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Rising 101 vs Last week: 100 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)

Speculation Index: Rising .097 vs Last week: -.438 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.601 10-22-08)

One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Unch 2.28% vs Last week: 2.28% (5.27% / Low 2.71% 4-9-09) CD Rate information provided by BankRate CD Alert

*************************************************************************************
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125 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis

Symbol: Trend +/- vs Last Week (Historic: High / Low) Rating Demand Factor

Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.03 vs Last week: +.14 (High .95 / Low -1.59) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 6-
S&P 500 Large-Cap
SPY: +.11 vs Last week: +.17 (High .78 / Low -1.88) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81-
S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.13 vs Last week: +.20 (High 1.15 / Low -2.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.06 vs Last week: +.21 (High .72 / Low -1.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 77-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: +.19 vs Last week: +.23 (High .54 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
1. Biotech
BBH: +.35 vs Last week: +.21 (High 1.58 / Low -4.28)Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 39+
2. Broadband
BDH: +.57 vs Last week: -.28 (High .57 / Low -.63) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 41+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.06 vs Last week: +.09 (High .41 / Low -.38) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 92-
4. Chicago Mercantile Exchange
CME: -.02 vs Last week: +2.72 (High 4.84 / Low -7.92)Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 90+
5. PowerShares DB Agriculture
DBA: +.12 vs Last week: +.23 (High .65 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 95-
6. Deutsche Bank Commodity
DBC: +.24 vs Last week: +.42 (High .68 / Low -.99) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
7. Ultra Dow 30 Power Shares
DDM: +.01 vs Last week: +.13 (High 1.00 / Low -1.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 64-
8. Ultra Oil & Gas ProShares
DIG: -.06 vs Last week: +.09 (High .81 / Low -2.10) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 71-
9. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares
DUG: +.05 vs Last week: -.11 (High 1.64/ Low -1.45) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 48+
10. Dow Jones Select Dividend
DVY: +.01 vs Last week: +.08 (High .69 / Low -.79) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 62-
11. Ultra Short Dow 30 Power Shares
DXD: -.08 vs Last week: -.21 (High 1.68 / Low -1.64)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18+
12. BRIC (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: +.09 vs Last week: +.19 (High .86 / Low -.84) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 80-
13. Emerging Markets
EEM: +.05 vs Last week: +.01 (High 1.29 / Low -1.83) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93+
14. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.06 vs Last week: +.15 (High .62 / Low -.97) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92+
15. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: +.18 vs Last week: +.28 (High 1.36 / Low -1.25) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90-
16. Australia
EWA: +.14 vs Last week: +.17 (High .81 / Low -.51) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88+
17. Canada
EWC: -.10 vs Last week: -.01 (High .52 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71+
18. Sweden
EWD: +.14 vs Last week: +.14 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95/
19. Germany
EWG: -.05 vs Last week: +.13 (High .61 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 60-
20. Hong Kong
EWH: +.10 vs Last week: +.06 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
21. Italy
EWI: -.03 vs Last week: +.21 (High .51 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 88-
22. Japan
EWJ: +.09 vs Last week: +.08 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
23. Belgium
EWK: +.04 vs Last week: +.05 (High .60 / Low -.83) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 81+
24. Switzerland
EWL: +.18 vs Last week: +.09 (High .64 / Low -.63) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86+
25. Malaysia
EWM: -.03 vs Last week: +.01 (High .39 / Low -.22) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 72+
26. Netherlands
EWN: +.03 vs Last week: +.13 (High .64 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89+
27. Austria
EWO: -.34 vs Last week: -.29 (High .54 / Low -.97) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1-
28. Spain
EWP: +.20 vs Last week: +.27 (High .75 / Low -.89) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
29. France
EWQ: +.05 vs Last week: +.24 (High .56 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 85-
30. Singapore
EWS: +.07 vs Last week: +.06 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 36-
31. Taiwan
EWT: -.20 vs Last week: -.05 (High .40 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 3-
32. United Kingdom
EWU: +.15 vs Last week: +.20 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 97+
33. Mexico
EWW: +.03 vs Last week: -.04 (High .72 / Low -1.22) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
34. South Korea
EWY: -.04 vs Last week: -.06 (High .69 / Low -1.09) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 78-
35. Brazil
EWZ: -.10 vs Last week: +.07 (High 1.00 / Low -1.50) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 84+
36. South Africa
EZA: +.06 vs Last week: +.23 (High 1.72 / Low -1.59) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
37. FTSE/Xinhua China 25
FXI: +.19 vs Last week: +.20 (High 2.91 / Low -2.27) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
38. ProShares US FTSE/XI
FXP: -.20 vs Last week: -.19 (High 3.04 / Low -4.34) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1-
39. SPDR Gold Trust
GLD: -.12 vs Last week: -.03 (High .80 / Low -.98) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61+
40. Internet
HHH: +.32 vs Last week: +.42 (High .64 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
41. High Yield Corporate Bonds
HYG: +.22 vs Last week: +.08 (High .80 / Low -.97) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
42. Internet Architecture
IAH: +.21 vs Last week: +.16 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 41/
43. Broker-Dealers
IAI: +.15 vs Last week: +.19 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78+
44. Insurance
IAK: -.08 vs Last week: -.14 (High .62 / Low -.97) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 55-
45. Comex Gold
IAU: -.17 vs Last week: -.09 (High .84 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 69+
46. Biotechnology
IBB: +.37 vs Last week: +.27 (High .70 / Low -.84) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 50+
47. InterContinental Exchange
ICE: +.51 vs Last week: +.91 (High 1.82 /Low -2.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
48. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: -.08 vs Last week: +.06 (High .98 / Low -1.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 85-
49. Utilities
IDU: +.21 vs Last week: +.35 (High .78 / Low -1.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 44-
50. S&P Europe 350
IEV: +.01 vs Last week: +.18 (High .84 / Low -2.42) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 75-
51. Natural Resources
IGE: -.02 vs Last week: +.10 (High 1.35 / Low -4.09) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 80-
52. Networking
IGN: +.37 vs Last week: +.38 (High .67 / Low -.71) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
53. Software
IGV: +.35 vs Last week: +.40 (High .66 / Low -.79) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
54. Semiconductor
IGW: +.16 vs Last week: +.31 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95/
55. India Investment Fund
IIF: +.11 vs Last week: +.12 (High .88 / Low -1.11) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90+
56. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.16 vs Last week: +.18 (High .78 / Low -1.18) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86-
57. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.26 vs Last week: +.24 (High .76 / Low -1.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99/
58. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.14 vs Last week: +.14 (High .83 / Low -1.05) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 79-
59. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: -.05 vs Last week: +.04 (High 2.68 / Low -9.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 83+
60. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.17 vs Last week: -.11 (High .81 / Low -1.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 42-
61. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.15 vs Last week: +.16 (High .64 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 71-
62. S&P TOPIX 150
ITF: -.02 vs Last week: -.04 (High .92 / Low -2.00) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91-
63. Russell 2000 Growth
IWO: +.29 vs Last week: +.24 (High .83 / Low -1.05) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81-
64. Global Financial
IXG: -.18 vs Last week: +.06 (High .79 / Low -1.06) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 43-
65. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.18 vs Last week: +.18 (High .78 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 80-
66. Energy
IYE: -.04 vs Last week: +.10 (High 1.29 / Low -1.86) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 64-
67. Financial Services
IYG: -.04 vs Last week: +.08 (High .85 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 62+
68. Healthcare
IYH: +.14 vs Last week: +.10 (High .54 / Low -.91) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 53/
69. Industrial
IYJ: -.06 vs Last week: +.02 (High .60 / Low -.97) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 74-
70. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.03 vs Last week: +.11 (High .58 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86-
71. Basic Materials
IYM: +.04 vs Last week: +.04 (High .84 / Low -1.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
72. Real Estate
IYR: +.02 vs Last week: +.09 (High .64 / Low -1.26) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
73. Transportation
IYT: +.25 vs Last week: +.13 (High .87 / Low -1.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86+
74. Technology
IYW: +.18 vs Last week: +.25 (High .54 / Low -.92) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88-
75. Total Market Index
IYY: +.07 vs Last week: +.17 (High .84 / Low -.98) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-
76. Telecommunications
IYZ: -.00 vs Last week: -.05 (High .43 / Low -.71 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 89+
77. Investment Grade Corporate Bonds
LQD: +.26 vs Last week: -.01 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
78. Market Vectors Global Agribusiness
MOO: -.30 vs Last week: -.28 (High .64 / Low -1.29) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
79. Ultra Short Mid-Cap 400 Power Shares
MZZ: -.22 vs Last week: -.22 (High 2.77 / Low -1.96) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32+
80. NYSE Euronext Group
NYX: +.05 vs Last week: +.27 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
81. NASDAQ Stock Market
NDAQ: +.02 vs Last week: +.28 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 76+
82. S&P 100 Index
OEF: +.16 vs Last week: +.16 (High .64 / Low -1.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 64+
83. Oil Services
OIH: -.25 vs Last week: +.12 (High 2.43 /Low -3.86) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 69-
84. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: +.24 vs Last week: +.27 (High .72 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93+
85. PowerShares Water Resources
PHO: +.14 vs Last week: +.10 (High .86 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 22+
86. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: +.07 vs Last week: -.00 (High .80 / Low -1.04) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 17+
87. PowerShares Dynamic Software
PSJ: +.16 vs Last week: +.18 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 39+
88. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.03 vs Last week: +.16 (High .57 / Low -.77) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 89/
89. Ultra Short QQQ Power Shares
QID: -.32 vs Last week: -.37 (High 1.86 / Low -1.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 3-
90. Ultra QQQ ProShares
QLD: +.33 vs Last week: +.39 (High 1.14 / Low -1.92) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
91. Regional Banks
RKH: -.11 vs Last week: +.07 (High 1.37 / Low -1.50) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 69-
92. Eastern Europe
RNE: -.18 vs Last week: -.07 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25-
93. Retail
RTH: +.09 vs Last week: +.03 (High .91 / Low -1.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 41-
94. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: -.01 vs Last week: -.00 (High .78 / Low -1.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 94+
95. UltraShort S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: -.20 vs Last week: -.27 (High 2.23 / Low: -2.14)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
96. Ultra Short Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: -.27 vs Last week: -.29 (High 3.32 / Low -3.18)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 58+
97. Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bonds
SHY: -.12 vs Last week: -.34 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 14+
98. Ultra Short Russell 2000 Growth ProShares
SKK: -.44 vs Last week: -.48 (High 1.99 / Low -2.55)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 24+
99. Silver Trust
SLV: -.09 vs Last week: +.05 (High 2.31 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 55-
100. Semiconductor
SMH: +.16 vs Last week: +.29 (High .48 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
101. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares
SRS: -.07 vs Last week: -.16 (High 5.25 / Low -3.10)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 6-
102. Ultra S&P500 ProShares
SSO: +.08 vs Last week: +.13 (High 2.23 / Low: -2.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 61/
103. Software
SWH: -.00 vs Last week: +.13 (High .61 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 75-
104. Barclays 20-Year+ Treasury Bonds
TLT: +.15 vs Last week: -.35 (High .76 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 34+
105. Telecommunications
TTH: -.18 vs Last week: -.28 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 66+
106. PowerShares US Dollar Index Bearish
UDN: +.07 vs Last week: +.10 (High .61 / Low -.91) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94+
107. U.S. Natural Gas
UNG: +.12 vs Last week: +.14 (High .61 / Low -.91) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87+
108. U.S. Oil
USO: +.23 vs Last week: +.43 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
109. Utilities
UTH: +.35 vs Last week: +.38 (High .95 / Low -1.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
110. PowerShares US Dollar Index Bullish
UUP: +.09 vs Last week: +.05 (High .61 / Low -.91) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 73/
111. Wireless
WMH: -.33 vs Last week: +.37 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 6+
112. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: -.00 vs Last week: -.08 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 59-
113. Materials Select Sector
XLB: -.02 vs Last week: +.04 (High .45 / Low -.67) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 61-
114. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.11 vs Last week: +.02 (High .80 / Low -1.31) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 48-
115. Financial Select Sector
XLF: -.01 vs Last week: +.05 (High .46 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 76+
116. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: -.00 vs Last week: +.03 (High .46 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25-
117. Technology Select Sector
XLK: +.20 vs Last week: +.22 (High .51 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 79+
118. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: +.01 vs Last week: -.01 (High .59 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47/
119. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: -.02 vs Last week: -.05 (High .57 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 10+
120. Consumer Discretionary Select Sector
XLY: -.02 vs Last week: +.14 (High .44 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 11-
121. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: +.17 vs Last week: +.22 (High .98 / Low -1.45) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 83-

125 Exchange Traded Funds(ETF) tracked: (Historic: High= 90% 5-15-09 / Low= 5% 10-31-08)

This week's ETFs results: Falling Buy 70 / Sell 55 (56%) vs. Last week: Falling Buy 88 / Sell 37 (70%) vs. Prior week: Rising Buy 105 / Sell 20 (84%)

Dow Past Ten Weekly Net Close: -67.33(6-26) -259.53(6-19) +36.13(6-12) +262.80(6-5) +223.01(5-29) +8.68(5-22) -306.01(5-15) +362.24(5-8) +136.12(5-1) -55.04(4-24)

Options & Futures Expiration: Friday 7-17-09 (4-week cycle)

www.GaleFinancialMarketEconometrics.blogspot.com
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8:15amET DIA(ETF) Forecast illustrating the MktMetrics.com Trading Program

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Friday, June 26, 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Friday Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Below is an example of the MktMetrics program using DIA ETF current information. Our pattern recognition algorithm trading program covers the 1,000 most actively traded stocks and ETFs. Get a "14-Day FREE Trial" subscription to www.MktMetrics.com and begin to improved your trading results today!

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 06/26/09
Last Updated: 06/25/09

06/25/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 82.77
(High) 84.90
(Low) 82.57
(Close)84.70
(Range) 2.33

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 83.73
Today's Predicted High: 85.34
Today's Predicted Low: 84.07
Today's Proposed Range: 1.27
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell (up from strong Sell)

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 40 Up from 35
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.80/0.87 Down
Current Trend: Positive 7 Up from -15
Demand Factor: 61 Up from 56
Stock Volatility: 4.45 Up from 2.84

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
06/25/09 12:45 Close: 84.36
Upside Potential: 86.41
Downside Potential: 83.87

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 84.22
2. 84.43
3. 86.39
4. 86.60

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 83.20
2. 83.01
3. 81.11
4. 80.92

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.46
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 86.10
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.41
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.85
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.08
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 82.83
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.37
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.14

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Friday: 0%
DJIA Trend: Rising 26%
DJIA Momentum: Rising 94%
Dow Outlook: Bullish, Falling 59%
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 82.5%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Friday June 26 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Trial" to www.MktMetrics.com- See for yourself before you make a trade, at what price NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Thursday 6-25-09 DJIA Closed: 8,472.40 +172.54 vs. prior day: 8,299.86 -23.05
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,596.92 +8.21 vs. prior day: 8,588.71 -8.27
DJIA Closed: -1.45% Below Rising 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -3.36% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Friday June 26 Stock Market Forecast

Fridays: Rising 54.0% / 51.8% / 50.0% / 49.0% / 50.0%
(Higher Open is greatest for Friday)
Historic High: 60.7 (1-7-07) / Low 35.9% (10-31-08)

DJIA Trend Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-25-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 6-15-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising 8 vs. Down 23 (+2 vs -1 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Falling contracting (8-day 84.46) vs. (21-day 86.10) -1.64(-.29) vs. Prior -1.35(-.58) (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Rising 26% vs Prior 19% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 94% vs. Prior 81% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 1.88 vs. Prior 1.16 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Rising 30 vs. Prior 14 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Rising 20 vs. Prior 14 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Rising 33 vs. Prior 19 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising 347 vs. Prior 270 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,596.92 / Intermediate Term 8,747.36 / Breakout 8,897.80
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,588.71 / Intermediate Term 8,442.36 / Breakdown 8,296.00

Friday's Trading Highlights:
1. Stock futures slip ahead of personal spending data -
2. Mich. finally gets good news with small car plant -
3. Report: China likely to reject Hummer acquisition -
4. Record fall in Japan prices fuel deflation fears -
5. Jackson lived like king but died awash in debt -
6. Qantas cancels orders for 15 Boeing 787s -
7. Prosecutors to appeal Stanford's release on bond -
8. Oil above $71 as rebels attack Nigerian facility -
9. Agency slaps Citibank Japan with sales suspension -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Rising Current -34.30 vs. Previous day -138.20
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Summation Index: Falling Current 2,902.489 vs. Previous day 2,936.78
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Current .02 vs. Previous day -.05 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Current 39% vs. Previous day 19% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Current 59.13% vs. Previous day 53.00% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, Positive and decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Current 51.39% vs. Previous day 45.77% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Current .06% vs. Previous day -.01% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish, Falling 59% vs. Previous day 61% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 82.5% vs Previous day 76.8% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today 7% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 20% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 18% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 23% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 23% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 27% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today 21% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today -0% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Rising from an oversold condition
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising 61 vs. Previous day 28 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Falling 4 vs. Previous day 36 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Rising -77 vs. Previous day -122 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Friday Morning Market Observation:

The stock market remains questionable, but is attempting to rally out of the situation and seduce investors on the sidelines to come on back. It was my opinion that the DJIA would Close up yesterday about 116 points higher. Instead, the DJIA surprised me by bolting 172.54 points higher, up 2.08% on the day. Still, the DJIA will need to have follow-through by moving higher today to convince me that the June gloom is all over and no test of lower levels is warranted. I will be swift to change my thinking if the NYSE Composite advances vs. declines (breadth) puts in a positive display of money returning to the stock market over the next few days.

Thursday's DJIA trading pushed its Trend higher and the DIA Rating rose from Strong Sell to Sell. While this was a positive one-day event, the DJIA Outlook continues to move lower. I would like to encourage investors not to be too enamored with the idea of trajectory take-off from current levels until the Trend is confirmed by the Outlook. So many times in the past, I have witnessed a couple days of breakout above the DJIA 21-day moving average only to be hammered by heavy selling that brings the venerable index swiftly back into negative territory.

MktMetrics Probability of Being "Up" today is 0%. This means that we may see a sell-off of equal proportion of yesterday's rise forthcoming as early as Friday, and certainly no later than Monday. In conclusion, be nimble and keep in mind that there has been no real confirmed up trend established yet by simply being up one day.

Have a great weekend.

Good luck and Good trading today!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Thursday, June 25, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Friday June 26 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
Trading Ideas for Friday

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA Probability of being "Up" Friday: 0%

DJIA Trend Change to "Up" from "Down" initiated 6-25-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 6-15-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Selected Stocks expected to Close "HIGHER" Friday
BUY, Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV: (Proposed Range)
ALV OFV: 27.76 (0.71)
AM OFV: 9.97 (0.42)
AVA OFV: 17.60 (0.62)
BDH OFV: 11.54 (0.18)
CSL OFV: 24.28 (0.63)
DLLR OFV: 13.47 (0.67)
ESRX OFV: 67.81 (2.26)
IGN OFV: 23.17 (0.46)
IGV OFV: 38.09 (0.63)
ININ OFV: 12.59 (0.50)
JKHY OFV: 19.83 (0.38)
LH OFV: 66.71 (1.54)
MSTR OFV: 49.78 (2.75)
MXIM OFV: 16.32 (0.50)
MXWL OFV: 13.46 (0.56)
NDN OFV: 13.59 (0.47)
NOVN OFV: 13.40 (0.31)
NTES OFV: 36.86 (4.45)
NUAN OFV: 12.32 (0.82)
PAS OFV: 25.98 (0.49)
PSEM OFV: 8.57 (0.43)
QCOM OFV: 45.81 (1.22)
REGN OFV: 17.30 (0.94)
SRSL OFV: 6.38 (0.23)
UTEK OFV: 12.54 (0.39)
VIVO OFV: 21.88 (0.64)
VRTX OFV: 34.22 (0.95)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

*Of 1,000 stocks & ETFs tracked, Unusual Volume are showing in these TOP TWENTY THREE issues:

Symbol Rating *OFV: (Proposed Range)
PAYX BUY OFV: 24.82 (0.49)
NKE SELL OFV: 50.93 (1.78)
AM BUY OFV: 9.97 (0.42)
BSX BUY OFV: 9.94 (0.30)
LEN SELL OFV: 8.66 (0.37)
AMN BUY OFV: 55.46 (2.49)
CAG BUY OFV: 19.34 (0.44)
RHT BUY OFV: 18.73 (0.73)
SRSL BUY OFV: 6.38 (0.23)
SUG BUY OFV: 17.62 (0.89)
MOT BUY OFV: 6.36 (0.24)
SVU SELL OFV: 13.52 (0.64)
MON SELL OFV: 74.89 (2.34)
FMCN BUY OFV: 7.94 (0.45)
JEF BUY OFV: 21.29 (0.99)
WLT BUY OFV: 34.31 (1.99)
BBH BUY OFV: 92.87 (1.95)
ITF SELL OFV: 40.63 (0.52)
MDP BUY OFV: 25.40 (0.72)
AGP SELL OFV: 27.30 (1.41)
ATHR BUY OFV: 18.41 (0.72)
FSLR SELL OFV: 162.94 (6.90)
LLY BUY OFV: 34.34 (0.73)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to close "LOWER" Friday
SELL, Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
C OFV: 3.03 (0.15)
EWO OFV: 15.74 (0.35)
EXM OFV: 6.49 (0.60)
FSLR OFV: 162.94 (6.90)
FXP OFV: 12.86 (0.53)
IMN OFV: 7.98 (0.38)
SKF OFV: 43.83 (2.52)
TRA OFV: 26.01 (0.99)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

I'm often asked what my favorite and most predictive indicators are in analyzing the Current Trend of the stock market. Here are my Favorite Five:
1. DJIA Outlook: Falling 59% vs. 61% previous day (High 86% 6-12)
2. DJIA Trend: Rising 26% vs. 19% previous day (High 84% 6-4)
3. Institutional Demand: Rising 59.13% vs. 53.00% previous day (High 75.87% 6-8)
4. DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising 347 vs. 270 previous day (High: 1957 5-18)
5. DIA ma diff. 8-day vs 21-day: Contracting -1.64 vs. -1.35 prior day (High: 4.31)

Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com and receive the complete daily information you need to become a successful Investor/Trader. You can beat the NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers at their own game if you have our Pattern Recognition Algorithm Trading Program to make better investment decisions.

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

MktMetrics.com has been serving Institutional Investors and High Net Worth Individuals since April 2005, Douglas Gale its Founder, has 34 years experience as a successful Securites Trader and former technology vendor to Schwab CyberTrader.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Thursday Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Below is an example of the MktMetrics program using DIA ETF current information. Our pattern recognition algorithm trading program covers the 1,000 most actively traded stocks and ETFs. Get a "14-Day FREE Trial" subscription to www.MktMetrics.com and begin to improved your trading results today!

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 06/25/09
Last Updated: 06/24/09

06/24/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 83.74
(High) 84.28
(Low) 82.58
(Close)83.03
(Range) 1.70

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 83.42
Today's Predicted High: 83.60
Today's Predicted Low: 82.47
Today's Proposed Range: 1.13
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 35 Down from 42
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.90/0.87 Up
Current Trend: Negative -15 Down from 0
Demand Factor: 56 Down from 59
Stock Volatility: 2.84 Up from 0.08

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
06/24/09 12:45 Close: 83.75
Upside Potential: 83.80
Downside Potential: 81.54

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 84.23
2. 84.69
3. 85.41
4. 85.97

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 82.59
2. 82.07
3. 81.37
4. 80.93

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.68
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 86.03
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.36
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.75
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.99
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 82.70
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.37
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.28

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Thursday: 55%
DJIA Trend: Falling 19%
DJIA Momentum: Falling 81%
Dow Outlook: Bullish, Falling 61%
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 76.8%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Thursday June 25 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Trial" to www.MktMetrics.com- See for yourself before you make a trade, at what price NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Wednesday 6-24-09 DJIA Closed: 8,299.86 -23.05 vs. prior day: 8,322.91 -16.1
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,588.71 -8.27 vs. prior day: 8,596.98 +2.17
DJIA Closed: -3.36% Below Falling 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -3.19% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Thursday June 25 Stock Market Forecast

Thursdays: Falling 53.0% / 55.7% / 54.0% / 53.0% / 53.8%
(Higher Close from Open is greatest for Thursday)
Historic High: 66.7% (11-13-08) / Low 52.8% (3-12-09)

DJIA Trend Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 6-15-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 6-15-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling 6 vs. Down 25 (-1 vs -6 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Falling contracting (8-day 84.68) vs. (21-day 86.03) -1.35(-.58) vs. Prior -0.77(-.59) (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Falling 19% vs Prior 23% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 81% vs. Prior 84% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 1.16 vs. Prior 0.55 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Falling 14 vs. Prior 20 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Falling 14 vs. Prior 26 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Falling 19 vs. Prior 27 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 270 vs. Prior 403 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,596.98 / Intermediate Term 8,743.14 / Breakout 8,889.30
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,588.71 / Intermediate Term 8,438.40 / Breakdown 8,288.10

Thursday's Trading Highlights:
1. Stock futures slip before GDP, jobless claims data -
2. AIG moves to spin off 2 units, reduce gov't debt -
3. Toyota president says product lineup under review -
4. China accuses Google of spreading pornography -
5. Ericsson names new CEO as Svanberg goes to BP -
6. Sinopec seeks capacity, reserves with Addax bid -
7. Fed chairman Bernanke faces House committee today -
8. Oil hovers near $69 amid mixed crude demand signs -
9. Lennar posts slightly larger 2nd-quarter loss -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Rising Current -138.20 vs. Previous day -229.27
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Summation Index: Falling Current 2,936.78 vs. Previous day 3,074.99
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Current -.05 vs. Previous day .01 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Current 19% vs. Previous day 35% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Current 53.00 vs. Previous day 56.32% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Current 45.77 vs. Previous day 49.32% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Current -.08% vs. Previous day +.01% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish, Falling 61% vs. Previous day 66% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 76.8% vs Previous day 75.9% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 19% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Rising from an oversold condition
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising 28 vs. Previous day 19 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Rising 36 vs. Previous day 23 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Rising -122 vs. Previous day -151 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Thursday Morning Market Observation:

The stock market is in a Bearish mode. The NYSE Composite advances vs. declines 21-day moving average went into negative territory on Monday, the very same day that the DIA 8-day moving average vs. 21-day moving average went negative. The result of Wednesday's trading for the DJIA 21- day moving average went negative as well. Very Bearish trading for a stock market that is suppose to be on the mend.

As a new trading day begins, we look to Thursday's results to be a rebound off of recent depressed levels of an oversold condition. While a 55% probability for DIA to be "Up" today is not too meaningful, the Exchange Insiders (specialists and market makers) will want to raise prices after the previous four down days of selling. The stock market and the MktMetrics' DJIA Outlook are moving lower, but any one-day bounce may not be strong enough to generate a sustaining move to make the Outlook and Trend readings go higher from their current negative posture.

At the present time, there are only 6 out of 31 (Dow 30 + DIA) issues that remain positive, which illustrates how bad the Trend of the Big Caps are faring. However, it is well advised not to go overboard on puts and short positions as the stock market has its own way of evening out an oversold condition. A 100+ point move up in the Dow today may happen. My experience in using the MktMetrics.com program is to wait for the DJIA Outlook to reverse course to up from down, before coming out of cash and back into the stock market. That will be the sure sign that the tide has turned and is safe to return to quality stock investing.

Good luck and Good trading today!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Thurday June 25 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
Trading Ideas for Thursday

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 55%

DJIA Trend Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 6-15-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 6-15-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Selected Stocks expected to Close "HIGHER" Thursday
BUY, Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV: (Proposed Range)
ACV OFV: 24.97 (0.49)
AM OFV: 8.52 (0.51)
ANN OFV: 7.49 (0.63)
BCSI OFV: 16.03 (0.81)
BVF OFV: 12.89 (0.47)
ESRX OFV: 65.65 (2.56)
IGV OFV: 37.83 (0.51)
JKHY OFV: 19.75 (0.50)
LH OFV: 65.68 (2.27)
LIFE OFV: 40.41 (1.28)
LZ OFV: 44.77 (1.00)
MOT OFV: 6.31 (0.26)
MXIM OFV: 15.96 (0.51)
MXWL OFV: 12.75 (0.66)
MYGN OFV: 35.64 (1.71)
NLY OFV: 15.40 (0.39)
NOVN OFV: 12.88 (0.42)
NTES OFV: 35.28 (4.12)
QCOM OFV: 44.88 (1.17)
RHT OFV: 19.88 (0.65)
RVBD OFV: 24.01 (0.83)
SRSL OFV: 6.17 (0.23)
STX OFV: 9.80 (0.46)
SUG OFV: 16.81 (0.93)
SWY OFV: 20.64 (0.53)
VRTX OFV: 33.76 (1.21)
WDC OFV: 25.46 (0.92)
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

THE BALANCE OF THIS BLOG DOES NOT HAVE THE RATING, OFV OR PROPOSED RANGE DUE TO A LATE START BECAUSE OF DSL PROBLEM WITH THE PROVIDER. IT IS NOW UP AND RUNNING SMOOTHLY BUT TOO LATE TO CONTIUNE. TOMORROW THIS BLOG WILL BE WHOLE AGAIN.

*Of 1,000 stocks & ETFs tracked, Unusual Volume are showing in these TOP TWENTY issues:

Symbol Rating *OFV: (Proposed Range)
AM OFV:
SVU
AGP
MON
BA
FXP
ORCL
JBL
MOT
RMBS
SLE
IGE
VAR
ABC
SKK
HXL
KR
BEBE
FUL

*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to close "LOWER" Thursday
SELL, Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas

Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range)
ABC
ACI
AMD
ATMI
CAL
CATY
CB
COP
CTX
DAKT
DHI
DRYS
EGLE
EWO
EXM
HIG
HOC
IMN
KND
LEN
LOGI
MTW
PHM
RYL
S
SAFT
SUN
TBSI
TNP
TOL
V
VLO
WMH
XLV
XLY
ZOLT
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

I'm often asked what my favorite and most predictive indicators are in analyzing the Current Trend of the stock market. Here are my Favorite Five:
1. DJIA Outlook: Falling 61% vs. 66% previous day (High 86% 6-12)
2. DJIA Trend: Falling 19% vs. 23% previous day (High 84% 6-4)
3. Institutional Demand: Falling 53.00% vs. 56.32% previous day (High 75.87% 6-8)
4. DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 270 vs. 403 previous day (High: 1957 5-18)
5. DIA ma diff. 8-day vs 21-day: Contracting -1.35 vs. -.77 prior day (High: 4.31)

Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com and receive the complete daily information you need to become a successful Investor/Trader. You can beat the NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers at their own game if you have our Pattern Recognition Algorithm Trading Program to make better investment decisions.

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

MktMetrics.com has been serving Institutional Investors and High Net Worth Individuals since April 2005, Douglas Gale its Founder, has 34 years experience as a successful Securites Trader and former technology vendor to Schwab CyberTrader.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Wednesday Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Below is an example of the MktMetrics program using DIA ETF current information. Our pattern recognition algorithm trading program covers the 1,000 most actively traded stocks and ETFs. Get a "14-Day FREE Trial" subscription to www.MktMetrics.com and begin to improved your trading results today!

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 06/24/09
Last Updated: 06/23/09

06/23/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 83.42
(High) 83.71
(Low) 82.85
(Close)83.18
(Range) 0.86

DIA Wednesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 83.28
Today's Predicted High: 83.81
Today's Predicted Low: 82.56
Today's Proposed Range: 1.25
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 42 Down from 50
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.70/0.82 Down
Current Trend: Negative 0 Up from -1
Demand Factor: 59 Down from 61
Stock Volatility: 0.08 Down from 1.79

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
06/23/09 12:45 Close: 83.22
Upside Potential: 84.39
Downside Potential: 81.89

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 84.51
2. 84.84
3. 85.09
4. 85.38

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 82.04
2. 81.75
3. 81.52
4. 81.19

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.34
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 86.11
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.41
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.69
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.91
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 82.62
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.37
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.44

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Wednesday: 48%
DJIA Trend: Falling 23%
DJIA Momentum: Falling 84%
Dow Outlook: Falling 66%
Stock Market Outlook: Falling 75.9%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading. To continue tonight!

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday June 24 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Trial" to www.MktMetrics.com- See for yourself before you make a trade, at what price NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Tuesday 6-23-09 DJIA Closed: 8,322.91 -16.1 vs. prior day: 8,339.01 -200.72
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,596.98 +2.17 vs. prior day: 8,594.81 +2.24
DJIA Closed: -3.19% Below Rising 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -2.98% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Wednesday June 24 Stock Market Forecast

Wednesdays: Falling 51.9% / 52.7% / 54.7% / 55.7% / 56.3%
Historic High: 79.1% (10-13-07) / Low: 47.1% (11-19-08)

DJIA Trend Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 6-15-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 6-15-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling 7 vs. Down 24 (-6 vs -3 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Falling contracting (8-day 85.34) vs. (21-day 86.11) -0.77(-.95) vs. Prior -0.18(-.56) (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Falling 23% vs Prior 42% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Unch#2 84% vs. Prior 84% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.55 vs. Prior 1.55 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Falling 20 vs. Prior 24 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Falling 26 vs. Prior 38 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Rising 27 vs. Prior 25 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising 403 vs. Prior 281 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,596.98 / Intermediate Term 8,747.44 / Breakout 8,897.90
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,594.81 / Intermediate Term 8,445.46 / Breakdown 8,296.10

Wednesday's Trading Highlights:
1. Fed says recession easing, inflation not a threat -
2. Citi boosting salaries to offset lower bonuses -
3. SEC pitches tightened rules for money-market funds -
4. Benefits tax advances in health care negotiations -
5. Durable goods orders up in May; new home sales dip -
6. Weak economy will zap holiday trips, AAA says -
7. China's Sinopec makes $7.2B grab for Addax -
8. Energy prices drop with gasoline supplies surging -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Rising Current -229.27 vs. Previous day -245.09
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Summation Index: Falling Current 3,074.99 vs. Previous day 3,304.27
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Current .01 vs. Previous day -.01 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Current 35% vs. Previous day 48% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Current 56.32 vs. Previous day 55.84% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Current 49.32 vs. Previous day 52.19% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Unch Current +.01% vs. Previous day +.01% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed above its Mean, positive yet flat.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish, Falling 66% vs. Previous day 71% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, Falling 75.9% vs Previous day 77.5% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 18% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 26% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Developing an oversold condition, but still Bearish
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising 19 vs. Previous day 9 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Falling 23 vs. Previous day 32 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Rising -151 vs. Previous day -157 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Wednesday Morning Market Observation:

Blog was down for 12 hours and this section will be available on Thursday.

Good luck and Good trading today!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Tuesday Forecast

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

Below is an example of the MktMetrics program using DIA ETF current information. Our pattern recognition algorithm trading program covers the 1,000 most actively traded stocks and ETFs. Get a "14-Day FREE Trial" subscription to www.MktMetrics.com and begin to improved your trading results today!

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 06/23/09
Last Updated: 06/22/09

06/22/09 Final Numbers
(Open) 84.58
(High) 84.77
(Low) 83.32
(Close)83.32
(Range) 1.45

DIA Tuesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 84.02
Today's Predicted High: 83.96
Today's Predicted Low: 82.68
Today's Proposed Range: 1.28
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell (down from buy)

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 50 Down from 58
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.20/0.82 Up
Current Trend: Negative -1 Down from 14
Demand Factor: 61 Down from 69
Stock Volatility: 1.79 Up from 1.02

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
06/22/09 12:45 Close: 83.72
Upside Potential: 84.22
Downside Potential: 81.66

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 84.99
2. 84.99
3. 86.27
4. 86.47

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 83.07
2. 82.89
3. 81.65
4. 81.65

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.92
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 86.10
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.45
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.61
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.86
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 82.46
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 81.37
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 85.59

Nightly Analysis Update
DIA Probability of Being Up Tuesday: 87%
DJIA Trend: Falling 42%
DJIA Momentum: Falling 84%
Dow Outlook: Falling 71%
Stock Market Outlook: Falling 77.5%

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" blog is published by 11:00pmET the night before next day's trading.

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday June 23 2009

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Trial" to www.MktMetrics.com- See for yourself before you make a trade, at what price NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 6-22-09 DJIA Closed: 8,339.01 -200.72 vs. prior day: 8,539.73 -15.87
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 8,594.81 +2.24 vs. prior day: 8,592.57 +5.60
DJIA Closed: -2.98% Below Rising 21-day Moving Average vs. prior day -.61% (Historic High: 10.56% 3-26-09 vs. Low: -19.26%)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Tuesday June 23 Stock Market Forecast

Tuesdays: Rising 50.0% / 49.0% / 49.0% / 48.0% / 47.2%
(Lower Open is greatest for Tuesday)
Historic High: 63.8% (8-27-07) / Low: 46.2% (5-5-09)

DJIA Trend Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 6-15-09
DJIA Outlook Change to "Down" from "Up" initiated 6-15-09
DIA Rating Change to "Sell" from "Buy" initiated 6-22-09

Dow Jones Industrial Average & DIA Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling 13 vs. Down 18 (-3 vs -0 prior day)
DIA M/A Trend: Falling contracting (8-day 85.92) vs. (21-day 86.10) -0.18(-.56) vs. Prior 0.38(-.36) (Historic High: +4.31 3-27-09 / Low: -11.12)
DJIA Trend: Falling 42% vs Prior 52% (Historic: High 100% 3-31-09 / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Unch 84% vs. Prior 84% (Historic: High 97% / Low 0%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 1.55 vs. Prior 0.80 (Historic: High 9.80 / Low -2.37)
DJIA 5-Day Stochastic: Falling 24 vs. Prior 25 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 20-Day Stochastic: Falling 38 vs. Prior 47 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength: Falling 25 vs. Prior 36 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 281 vs. Prior 456 (Historic: High 1957 5-18-09 / Low -3881)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 8,594.81 / Intermediate Term 8,745.21 / Breakout 8,895.60
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 8,592.57 / Intermediate Term 8,443.28 / Breakdown 8,294.00

Tuesday's Trading Highlights:
1. Stock futures rise ahead of home sales data -
2. Toyota shareholders OK founder's grandson as head -
3. Nissan to mass produce electric cars in 2012 -
4. AP source: Ford, Nissan, Tesla to get govt loans -
5. House Democrats to open hearings on health bill -
6. Google trial in Italy: freedom v. responsibility -
7. German consumer confidence rising -
8. Oil slides to near $67 on grim World Bank forecast -

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

McClellan Oscillator: Falling Current -245.09 vs. Previous day -132.97
(High 232.41 / Low -316.18) Mean= -41.88 Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Summation Index: Falling Current 3,304.27 vs. Previous day 3,549.36
(High 4,822.06 5-12-09 / Low -4,699) Mean= 123 Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Current -.01 vs. Previous day .03 (High .29 / Low -.31) Mean= -.01 Closed at baseline, Neutral and flat.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Current 48% vs. Previous day 65% (High 97% / Low 0%) Mean= 49% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Current 55.84 vs. Previous day 60.97% (High 86.84% / Low 5.51% 11-20-08) Mean= 47.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Current 52.19 vs. Previous day 56.71% (High 81.06% / Low 6.42% 10-10-08) Mean= 43.74% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Current +.01% vs. Previous day +.06% (High +.45% 4-3-09 / Low -.77% 10-10-08) Mean= -.21% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish, Falling 71% vs. Previous day 74% (High 89% / Low 2% 3-11-09) Mean= 45.5% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, Falling 77.5% vs Previous day 84.9% (High 100.0% / Low 1.8% 11-20-08) Mean= 50.9% (Dow 30, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100 combined)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 95% / Low -159%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 85% / Low -192%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 115% / Low -246%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 72% / Low -133%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 18% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 54% / Low -85%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 26% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 48% / Low -60%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 87% / Low -134%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 82% / Low -131%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 45% / Low -59%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 55% / Low -67%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 64% / Low -146%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 69% / Low -56%)
MktMetrics.com tracks 125 Exchange Traded Funds for our Subscribers

Stock Market Plurality: (Daily short-term overbought/oversold indicators, look for extremes either way) Conclusion: Falling
100 “High” vs. 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling 9 vs. Previous day 47 (Historic High 367 / Low 0)
Demand Factor "0": Rising 32 vs. Previous day 19 (Historic High 458 / Low 0)
Commodity Channel Index: Falling -157 vs. Previous day -87 (Historic High +237 / Low -228)

Tuesday Morning Market Observation:

Today, the futures are up on the morning thus far. Tuesdays have recently seen the initial hour of trading down and then rising after the morning sell-off. Personally, I like to wait until at least one-half of the previous day's total volume in the DIA has been reached before passing judgment on how the rest of the trading day is going to perform. You may wish to do the same.

I are amazed after a 200.72 point drop in the DJIA yesterday that the 21-day moving average is still rising, even though it is only by 2.24. However, the 8-day versus 21-day moving averages for the DIA is a totally different scenario as the 21-day was penetrated by the 8-day to the downside as a result of Monday's trading. This is a favorite indicator of mine as it is a proof that the DIA internal strength is collapsing and is clear indication of what could become a more negative environment going forward, unless the DIA can make a swift recovery.

The upcoming fourth of July holiday should bring see better results for a summer rally, but that is still ten days away and anything could happen between now and then. Today the MktMetrics oscillator for DIA is showing an 87% probability of being "Up" on the day and the Dow Volatility has increased sharply, which is Bullish for Tuesday's trading. Let's see what happens.

Good luck and Good trading today!

Stock Market Predictor: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President jdg8119@gmail.com
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.

: Name: Douglas Gale; Location: Creston, North Carolina, United States

Aquarius, 57. Raised in N. Hollywood. Spouse of 20 years a retired San Diego City school teacher. Have married sister in CA and daughter in NY. Mom was a school teacher, Dad in the Radio and TV biz. After Vietnam War, went to college. 1975 hired by Blyth Eastman Dillon (now: UBS Paine Weber.) Additionally, employed by Morgan Stanley, and west coast superregional firms: Bateman Eichler, Hill Richards (now: Wachovia)and Rauscher Pierce (now: RBC Dain Rauscher) before entering Day Trading business in 1997. Formerly lived in La Jolla Shores, CA, now living in the High Country of North Carolina overlooking 400 acre Christmas Tree and Vineyard family farm. Spent four years back-testing formulas created from 30 years experience trading NYSE member firms capital and family trust funds. Publish 3 daily blogs and offer a Free Look to our premium pre-market data service: www.MktMetrics.com. Subscribers enjoy content of Stock Market Forecast and detailed individual stock trading information required for successful securities trading.

View my complete profile

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions

Monday, July 13, 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Monday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Monday July 13 2009

Sunday, July 12, 2009

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell & Five Day Forecast

Stocks In Review Weekly Edition

Saturday, July 11, 2009

Stock Market Analysis Weekly ETF Edition

Friday, July 10, 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Friday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Friday July 10 2009

Thursday, July 09, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Friday July 10 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Thursday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Thursday July 9 2009

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Thursday July 9 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Wednesday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday July 8 2009

Tuesday, July 07, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Wednesday July 8 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Tuesday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday July 7 2009

Monday, July 06, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Tuesday July 7 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Monday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Monday July 6 2009

Sunday, July 05, 2009

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell & Five Day Forecast

Stocks In Review Weekly Edition

Saturday, July 04, 2009

Stock Market Analysis Weekly ETF Edition

Thursday, July 02, 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Thursday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Thursday July 2 2009

Wednesday, July 01, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Thursday July 2 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Wednesday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday July 1 2009

Tuesday, June 30, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Wednesday July 1 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Tuesday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday June 30 2009

Monday, June 29, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Tuesday June 30 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Monday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Monday June 29 2009

Sunday, June 28, 2009

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell & Five Day Forecast

Stocks In Review Weekly Edition

Saturday, June 27, 2009

Stock Market Analysis Weekly ETF Edition

Friday, June 26, 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Friday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Friday June 26 2009

Thursday, June 25, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Friday June 26 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Thursday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Thursday June 25 2009

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Stock Trading Ideas Thurday June 25 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Wednesday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday June 24 2009

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Exchanged Traded Fund(ETF) DIA Tuesday Forecast

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday June 23 2009

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